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Rational Choice and Judgment : Decision Analysis for the Decider

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Multi-Criteria Decision Making Leadership, Behavior, and Decision-Making Studies

Abstract

Preface. Who Might Use This Book. Background. Substance of this Book. Pedagogy. Demands on Students and Instructor. Other Approaches, Other Materials. Author Background. Acknowledgments. Prolog: A Baby Delivery Dilemma. 1. Basics and Overview. 2. Uses of Decision Analysis. Appendix 2A: Decision Analysis Reflects on His Work. 3. Evaluating a Choice Qualitatively. 4. Quantitative Aid to Rational Choice. Appendix 4A: Business Decision Tree Example. Appendix 4B: Private Example: Study or Play? 5. Describing Outcomes. 6. Taking Preference Into Account. 7. Choice Under Uncertainty. Appendix 7A. Technical Notes. 8. Decision Aiding Strategy. Appendix 8A. Influence Sketches. 9. Aiding the Professional Decider. Appendix 9A. Environmental Regulation Case Study. 10. Assessing and Inferring Probabilities. 11. Eliciting Preferences. 12. Applied Term Project. Appendix 12A. Student Project Report. Epilog. References. Glossary of Concepts and Terms. Index.

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References

1996Fuzzy sets 2017A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance 1994Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs.1997Beyond pleasure and pain.2001Risk as feelings.1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.1980Heuristic versus systematic information processing and the use of source versus message cues in persuasion.2013Choices, Values, and Frames

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