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Preventive measures : building risk assessment and crisis early warning systems
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Preventive measures : building risk assessment and crisis early warning systems (1998)Preventive measures : building risk asses…Learning from the Past and Stepping into the Future: Toward a New Generation of Conflict Prediction (2013)Learning from the Past and St…Exploring the Past, Anticipating the Future: A Symposium (2010)Exploring the Past, Anticipat…Insurgency and the Opening of Peace Processes (2005)Insurgency and the Opening of…Armed Conflict 1946-2001: A New Dataset (2002)Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War (2003)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Introduction (2017)Subnational violent conflict forecasts for sub-Saharan Africa, 2015–65, using climate-sensitive models (2017)On prediction in political science (2019)Speaking Truth to Power: The Art and Craft of Policy Analysis (1979)The Art and Craft of Policy Analysis (1979)No Lessons Learned from the Holocaust? Assessing Risks of Genocide and Political Mass Murder since 1955 (2003)Ethnic Groups in Conflict. (1986)Domestic Political Audiences and the Escalation of International Disputes (1994)Rationalist explanations for war (1995)Governments, Civilians, and the Evolution of Insurgency: Modeling the Early Dynamics of Insurgencies (2008)Alliances between Militant Groups (2012)Combatant Fragmentation and the Dynamics of Civil Wars (2012)
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  • 2005Insurgency and the Opening of Peace Processes130 cited
  • 2013Learning from the Past and Stepping into the Future: Toward a New Generation of Conflict Prediction109 cited
  • 2010Exploring the Past, Anticipating the Future: A Symposium61 cited

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