Updating and Extending the Disaggregate Choice Models in the Dutch National Model

Abstract

The Netherlands National Model System (NMS) is known as one of the first disaggregate national travel demand forecasting systems used in practice. The model system has been in use since 1986, and has been extensively updated and extended through its lifetime. Disaggregate discrete choice models are applied in the various modules of the modeling system. These modules simulate the different choices in travel behavior: tour frequencies (TF), mode and destination choice (MD), time of day choice (ToD), secondary and lower level destinations and the choice of a train route. This paper presents the re-estimation and improvements of the Netherlands National Model System (LMS). These include integration of logsums from subsequent choices and combined revealed preference/stated preference (RP/SP) estimations for the mode/destination (MD) models.

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