METHODOLOGY FOR DEVELOPING ACTIVITY DISTRIBUTION MODELS BY LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS

Abstract

A PROPOSED MATHEMATICAL FRAMEWORK FOR DEVELOPING URBAN ACTIVITIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS IS DESCRIBED. THE MODELS DISTRIBUTE FORECAST REGIONAL TOTALS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC VARIABLES TO SMALL ZONES. THE DISTRIBUTION IS CARRIED OUT AS A FUNCTION OF FUTURE PUBLIC POLICIES RELATING TO HIGHWAY AND RAPID TRANSIT IMPROVEMENTS, PUBLIC OPEN SPACE, ETC. METHODOLOGY IS DESCRIBED FOR DEVELOPING AN ACTIVITY DISTRIBUTION MODEL BY LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS. REFERENCES' PROTOTYPE DEVELOPMENT OF A STATISTICAL LAND USE PREDICTION MODEL FOR THE GREATER BOSTON REGION, D.M. HILL, D. GRAND AND W.B. HANSEN, HIGHWAY RESEARCH RECORD 114, PP. 51-70, 1966. PLANNING AND FORECASTING METROPOLITAN DEVELOPMENT, N.A. IRWIN AND D. BRAND, TRAFFIC QUARTERLY, OCT., 1965. ECONOMETRIC METHODS, J. JOHNSTON, MCGRAW-HILL, NEW YORK. STUDIES IN ECONOMETRIC METHOD, COWLES COMMISSION FOR RESEARCH IN ECONOMICS. THE BIAS AND MOMENT MATRIX OF THE GENERAL K-CLASS ESTIMATORS OF THE PARAMETERS IN SIMULTANEOUS EQUATIONS, A.L. NAGAR, ECONOMETRIKA, VOL. 27, PP. 575-595, 1959. SIMULTANEOUS LEAST SQUARES' A DISTRIBUTION FREE METHOD OF EQUATION SYSTEM STRUCTURE ESTIMATION, T.M. BROWN, INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW, VOL. 1, NO. 3, SEPT. 1960. EXTENSION OF THE MARKOFF THEOREM ON LEAST SQUARES, F.V. DAVID AND J. NEYMAN, STATISTICAL RESEARCH MEMOIRS, VOL. II, LONDON' DEPT. OF STATISTICS, UNIV. OF LONDON, UNIV. COLLEGE, PP. 105-116, DEC. 1938. MODERN FACTOR ANALYSIS, H.H. HARMAN, UNIV. OF CHICAGO PRESS, 1960.

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