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Judgments under Uncertainty
8 references·3 citing·46 second hop
Judgments under Uncertainty (2005)Judgments under UncertaintyJudgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…Combining Expert Judgments: A Bayesian Approach (1977)Combining Expert Judgments: A…Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis (1975)Exceptional Paper—Probability…Decision Analysis Expert Use (1974)Decision Analysis Expert UseSubjective Probability and Its Measurement (1973)Subjective Probability and It…Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Elicitation of Personal Proba…The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions (1968)The Consensus of Subjective P…Applied Statistical Decision Theory. (1962)Applied Statistical Decision …Forecasting supply chain sporadic demand with nearest neighbor approaches (2016)Forecasting supply chain spor…Estimates of Own Lethal Risks and Anchoring Effects (2006)Estimates of Own Lethal Risks…A Bayesian paired comparison approach for relative accident probability assessment with covariate information (2004)A Bayesian paired comparison …The theory of decision making. (1954)Applied Statistical Decision Theory (1962)An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts (1963)The Valuation of Decision Analysis (1978)Fertilization under Uncertainty: An Analysis Based on Producer Yield Expectations (1987)Problems with scoring methods and ordinal scales in risk assessment (2010)Le Comportement de l'Homme Rationnel devant le Risque: Critique des Postulats et Axiomes de l'Ecole Americaine (1953)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1964)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1976)The Theory of Incentives: The Principal-Agent Model (2001)Measuring Expectations (2004)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Information Value Theory (1966)Subjective confidence in forecasts (1982)Risks and decisions for conservation and environmental management (2005)Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review (2022)Rank Analysis of Incomplete Block Designs: I. The Method of Paired Comparisons (1952)A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures (1977)The Analytic Hierarchy Process (1985)Aggregating expert judgement (2011)Merging expert and empirical data for rare event frequency estimation: Pool homogenisation for empirical Bayes models (2011)Prediction in a risk analysis context: Implications for selecting a risk perspective in practical applications (2017)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)Uncertainties in risk analysis: Six levels of treatment (1996)Group influence on individual risk taking. (1962)Measurement and prediction, clinical and statistical. (1966)A comparative study of differences in subjective likelihood estimates made by individuals, interacting groups, Delphi groups, and nominal groups (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Time series prediction: Forecasting the future and understanding the past (1994)Elucidate structure in intermittent demand series (2020)Forecasting hierarchical time series in supply chains: an empirical investigation (2021)Artificial intelligence in supply chain management: enablers and constraints in pre-development, deployment, and post-development stages (2024)The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion (1986)Ethical Decision Making by Individuals in Organizations: An Issue-Contingent Model (1991)Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making (1997)Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction (1983)Combining Economic Forecasts (1986)Some Contributions of Integrated Assessment Models of Global Climate Change (2017)Bandit Processes and Dynamic Allocation Indices (1979)On the aggregation of information in competitive markets (1980)The real term structure and consumption growth (1988)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 1962Applied Statistical Decision Theory.1,443 cited
  • 1971Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations1,228 cited
  • 1975Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis663 cited
  • 1968The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions370 cited
  • 1977Combining Expert Judgments: A Bayesian Approach350 cited
  • 1974Decision Analysis Expert Use288 cited
  • 1973Subjective Probability and Its Measurement106 cited

Cited by

  • 2016Forecasting supply chain sporadic demand with nearest neighbor approaches68 cited
  • 2004A Bayesian paired comparison approach for relative accident probability assessment with covariate information63 cited
  • 2006Estimates of Own Lethal Risks and Anchoring Effects20 cited

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