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Embracing Uncertainty: The Interface of Bayesian Statistics and Cognitive Psychology
16 references·13 citing·35 second hop
Embracing Uncertainty: The Interface of Bayesian Statistics and Cognitive Psychology (1998)Embracing Uncertainty: The Interface of B…The ‘conjunction fallacy’ revisited: how intelligent inferences look like reasoning errors (1999)The ‘conjunction fallacy’ rev…Quantitative Risk Analysis: A Guide to Monte Carlo Simulation Modelling (1996)Quantitative Risk Analysis: A…Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge (1996)Error and the Growth of Exper…Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty (1996)Are humans good intuitive sta…The Handbook of Research Synthesis. (1995)The Handbook of Research Synt…How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats. (1995)How to improve Bayesian reaso…From tools to theories: A heuristic of discovery in cognitive psychology. (1991)From tools to theories: A heu…Scientific reasoning: the Bayesian approach (1990)Scientific reasoning: the Bay…Do studies of statistical power have an effect on the power of studies? (1989)Do studies of statistical pow…Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Prospect theory: An analysis …Culture and the Evolutionary Process (1986)Culture and the Evolutionary …Cultural Transmission and Evolution: A quantitative approach (1985)Cultural Transmission and Evo…The Selfish Gene (1976)The Selfish GeneThe illusion of control. (1975)The illusion of control.Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Decision Analysis: Introducto…Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts (2015)Trusting Judgements: How to G…Good thinking: seven powerful ideas that influence the way we think (2012)Good thinking: seven powerful…Uncertainty and uncertainty analysis methods (2011)Uncertainty and uncertainty a…Dynamics of uncertainty in geological interpretation (2010)Dynamics of uncertainty in ge…A Prescriptive Approach to Elicitation of Decision Data (2009)A Prescriptive Approach to El…How Different Choice Strategies Can Affect the Risk Elicitation Process (2006)How Different Choice Strategi…Risks and decisions for conservation and environmental management (2005)Risks and decisions for conse…Integrated assessment and energy analysis: Quality assurance in multi-criteria analysis of sustainability (2005)Integrated assessment and ene…Developing a Methodology for Eliciting Subjective Probability Estimates During Expert Evaluations of Safety Interventions: Application for Bayesian Belief Networks (2005)Developing a Methodology for …An introduction to prior information derived from probabilistic judgements: elicitation of knowledge, cognitive bias and herding (2004)An introduction to prior info…Participatory decision support for agricultural management. 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this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1988Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk32,475 cited
  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1976The Selfish Gene10,422 cited
  • 1986Culture and the Evolutionary Process7,034 cited
  • 1975The illusion of control.3,843 cited
  • 1995The Handbook of Research Synthesis.3,643 cited
  • 1995How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats.2,131 cited
  • 1969Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty.1,928 cited
  • 1985Cultural Transmission and Evolution: A quantitative approach1,691 cited
  • 1996Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge1,325 cited
  • 1996Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty1,295 cited
  • 1990Scientific reasoning: the Bayesian approach1,245 cited
  • 1989Do studies of statistical power have an effect on the power of studies?748 cited
  • 1991From tools to theories: A heuristic of discovery in cognitive psychology.634 cited
  • 1999The ‘conjunction fallacy’ revisited: how intelligent inferences look like reasoning errors538 cited

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  • 1996Quantitative Risk Analysis: A Guide to Monte Carlo Simulation Modelling500 cited
  • Cited by

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    • 2015Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts103 cited
    • 2004An introduction to prior information derived from probabilistic judgements: elicitation of knowledge, cognitive bias and herding95 cited
    • 2003Participatory decision support for agricultural management. A case study from Sri Lanka91 cited
    • 2010Dynamics of uncertainty in geological interpretation73 cited
    • 2000Time Perspective in Career-Related Choices: Applications of Time-Discounting Principles44 cited
    • 2011Uncertainty and uncertainty analysis methods39 cited
    • 2005Developing a Methodology for Eliciting Subjective Probability Estimates During Expert Evaluations of Safety Interventions: Application for Bayesian Belief Networks22 cited
    • 2009A Prescriptive Approach to Elicitation of Decision Data13 cited
    • 2006How Different Choice Strategies Can Affect the Risk Elicitation Process8 cited
    • 2012Good thinking: seven powerful ideas that influence the way we think4 cited