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Disjunction Between Probability and Verdict in Juror Decision Making
16 references·4 citing·31 second hop
Disjunction Between Probability and Verdict in Juror Decision Making (2011)Disjunction Between Probability and Verdi…Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking (2000)Timid Choices and Bold Foreca…The base rate fallacy reconsidered: Descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges (1996)The base rate fallacy reconsi…Conflict between intuitive and rational processing: When people behave against their better judgment. (1994)Conflict between intuitive an…Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking (1993)Timid Choices and Bold Foreca…On the Framing of Multiple Prospects (1992)On the Framing of Multiple Pr…Naked statistical evidence of liability: Is subjective probability enough? (1992)Naked statistical evidence of…Rational choice in an uncertain world (1988)Rational choice in an uncerta…Contingent weighting in judgment and choice. (1988)Contingent weighting in judgm…Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment. (1983)Human Inference: Strategies a…The dilution effect: Nondiagnostic information weakens the implications of diagnostic information (1981)The dilution effect: Nondiagn…Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment. (1981)Human Inference: Strategies a…The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments (1980)The base-rate fallacy in prob…Judgmental biases resulting from differing availabilities of arguments. (1980)Judgmental biases resulting f…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…People express more bias in their predictions than in their likelihood judgments. (2022)People express more bias in t…Reconciling scientific and commonsense values to improve reasoning (2021)Reconciling scientific and co…Jurors’ Presumption of Innocence (2017)Jurors’ Presumption of Innoce…Moderators of the feature-positive effect in abstract hypothesis-evaluation tasks. (2012)Moderators of the feature-pos…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Regret Theory: An Alternative Theory of Rational Choice Under Uncertainty (1982)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Order effects in belief updating: The belief-adjustment model (1992)Reason-based choice (1993)Choices, Values, and Frames (2013)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment (2002)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics (2003)Judged frequency of lethal events. (1978)Conservatism in human information processing (1982)Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average (1998)The earth is round (p < .05). (1994)Trust in Schools: A Core Resource for Improvement (2002)Prosocial Behavior: Multilevel Perspectives (2004)Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health. (1988)Teachers' Beliefs and Educational Research: Cleaning up a Messy Construct (1992)The Causes and Consequences of a Need for Self-Esteem: A Terror Management Theory (1986)Confirmation, disconfirmation, and information in hypothesis testing. (1987)Better Stories and Better Constructs: The Case for Rigor and Comparative Logic (1991)Overconfidence and Excess Entry: An Experimental Approach (1999)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Flawed Self-Assessment (2004)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)
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References

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  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 1983Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment.4,196 cited
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  • 1993Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking2,041 cited
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  • 1981The dilution effect: Nondiagnostic information weakens the implications of diagnostic information605 cited
  • 1980Judgmental biases resulting from differing availabilities of arguments.266 cited
  • 1992Naked statistical evidence of liability: Is subjective probability enough?

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256 cited
  • 1992On the Framing of Multiple Prospects239 cited
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    • 2021Reconciling scientific and commonsense values to improve reasoning18 cited
    • 2017Jurors’ Presumption of Innocence15 cited
    • 2022People express more bias in their predictions than in their likelihood judgments.7 cited
    • 2012Moderators of the feature-positive effect in abstract hypothesis-evaluation tasks.7 cited