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Verbal versus numerical probabilities: Efficiency, biases, and the preference paradox
10 references·16 citing·38 second hop
Verbal versus numerical probabilities: Efficiency, biases, and the preference paradox (1990)Verbal versus numerical probabilities: Ef…Cognition and Social Behavior (2014)Cognition and Social BehaviorDecisions based on numerically and verbally expressed uncertainties. (1988)Decisions based on numericall…Decision making under uncertainty (1984)Decision making under uncerta…Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Extensional versus intuitive …Judgments of and by representativeness (1982)Judgments of and by represent…Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Sava…Stated Expectations as Functions of Probability and Desirability of Outcomes (1953)Stated Expectations as Functi…Risk, Uncertainty and Profit (1921)Risk, Uncertainty and ProfitSurvey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise (2018)Survey Measurement of Probabi…The interpretation of IPCC probabilistic statements around the world (2014)The interpretation of IPCC pr…Communicating scientific uncertainty (2014)Communicating scientific unce…Effective communication of uncertainty in the IPCC reports (2011)Effective communication of un…Probability Information in Risk Communication: A Review of the Research Literature (2008)Probability Information in Ri…Numeric, Verbal, and Visual Formats of Conveying Health Risks: Suggested Best Practices and Future Recommendations (2007)Numeric, Verbal, and Visual F…Verbal and Numerical Expressions of Probability: “It's a Fifty–Fifty Chance” (2000)Verbal and Numerical Expressi…Communicating quantities: a review of psycholinguistic evidence of how expressions determine perspectives (2000)Communicating quantities: a r…Why (Cancer) Risk Communication Can Be Hard (1999)Why (Cancer) Risk Communicati…The Directionality of Verbal Probability Expressions: Effects on Decisions, Predictions, and Probabilistic Reasoning (1999)The Directionality of Verbal …Using Expectations Data to Study Subjective Income Expectations (1997)Using Expectations Data to St…Precision and accuracy of judgmental estimation (1997)Precision and accuracy of jud…Yes, but it is uncertain: Direction and communicative intention of verbal probabilistic terms (1995)Yes, but it is uncertain: Dir…Processing Linguistic Probabilities: General Principles and Empirical Evidence (1995)Processing Linguistic Probabi…Preferences and reasons for communicating probabilistic information in verbal or numerical terms (1993)Preferences and reasons for c…Comparing the Calibration and Coherence of Numerical and Verbal Probability Judgments (1993)Comparing the Calibration and…Theory of the Consumption Function (1957)Human Capital (1983)A Panel Data Model for Subjective Information on Household Income Growth (1996)Perceptions of Economic Insecurity: Evidence From the Survey of Economic Expectations (1997)Teen Expectations for Significant Life Events (2000)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Dual-process theories in social psychology (1999)Managing product quality risk in a multi-tier global supply chain (2010)Communicating the results of criterion referenced prediction measures: Risk categories for the Static-99R and Static-2002R sexual offender risk assessment tools. (2016)Risk and Uncertainty Communication (2017)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats. (1995)Risk as feelings. (2001)Communicating Health Risks With Visual Aids (2013)Global Volcanic Hazards and Risk (2015)An Inventory for Measuring Depression (1961)Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition (2007)A stitch in time: Self-regulation and proactive coping. (1997)Reflective and Impulsive Determinants of Social Behavior (2004)A framework for examining leadership in extreme contexts (2009)The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion (1986)Ethical Decision Making by Individuals in Organizations: An Issue-Contingent Model (1991)Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making (1997)RISK, UNCERTAINTY, AND DIVERGENCE OF OPINION (1977)Entrepreneurial discovery and the competitive market process: an Austrian approach (2000)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)Heuristic versus systematic information processing and the use of source versus message cues in persuasion. (1980)An attributional theory of achievement motivation and emotion. (1985)The Ripple Effect: Emotional Contagion and its Influence on Group Behavior (2002)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1921Risk, Uncertainty and Profit9,962 cited
  • 1961Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms7,892 cited
  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.3,990 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 2014Cognition and Social Behavior651 cited
  • 1982Judgments of and by representativeness632 cited
  • 1984Decision making under uncertainty296 cited
  • 1953Stated Expectations as Functions of Probability and Desirability of Outcomes281 cited
  • 1988Decisions based on numerically and verbally expressed uncertainties.252 cited

Cited by

  • 2007Numeric, Verbal, and Visual Formats of Conveying Health Risks: Suggested Best Practices and Future Recommendations772 cited
  • 1997Using Expectations Data to Study Subjective Income Expectations398 cited
  • 2008Probability Information in Risk Communication: A Review of the Research Literature389 cited
  • 2014Communicating scientific uncertainty311 cited
  • 2014The interpretation of IPCC probabilistic statements around the world291 cited

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

  • 1993Preferences and reasons for communicating probabilistic information in verbal or numerical terms291 cited
  • 2011Effective communication of uncertainty in the IPCC reports261 cited
  • 2000Verbal and Numerical Expressions of Probability: “It's a Fifty–Fifty Chance”246 cited
  • 1993Comparing the Calibration and Coherence of Numerical and Verbal Probability Judgments240 cited
  • 1999The Directionality of Verbal Probability Expressions: Effects on Decisions, Predictions, and Probabilistic Reasoning233 cited
  • 2018Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise218 cited
  • 1997Precision and accuracy of judgmental estimation206 cited
  • 1995Processing Linguistic Probabilities: General Principles and Empirical Evidence203 cited
  • 2000Communicating quantities: a review of psycholinguistic evidence of how expressions determine perspectives184 cited
  • 1999Why (Cancer) Risk Communication Can Be Hard166 cited
  • 1995Yes, but it is uncertain: Direction and communicative intention of verbal probabilistic terms162 cited