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Hindsight Distortion: “I knew‐it‐all along and I was sure about it”1

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References

2002Resilience in the Face of Catastrophe: Optimism, Personality, and Coping in the Kosovo Crisis2,164 cited
1975Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.1,841 cited
1970Toward an hypothesis of work behavior.763 cited
1975I knew it would happen716 cited
1976Self-esteem : its conceptualization and measurement534 cited
1982Debiasing506 cited
1977On the psychology of experimental surprises.488 cited
1982Hindsight Distortion and the 1980 Presidential Election148 cited
1981The Distorted Nature of Hindsight68 cited

Cited by

1990Second‐Guessing the Jury: Stereotypic and Hindsight Biases in Perceptions of Court Cases163 cited
2002Hindsight bias in economic expectations: I knew all along what I want to hear.42 cited
1990Hindsight Bias: Self‐Flattery or Cognitive Error?38 cited
1998The Effects of Feedback Source and Plausibility of Hindsight Bias37 cited
1998Decomposing Hindsight Bias35 cited
2003Hindsight bias as a function of anchor distance and anchor plausibility30 cited

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2002

Hindsight Bias and Individual Risk Attitude within the Context of Experimental Asset Markets

25 cited

2016What If? Counterfactual (Hi)Stories of International Law16 cited

2008The effects of mental contamination on the hindsight bias: Source confusion determines success in disregarding knowledge12 cited

2002Hindsight Bias Around the World11 cited

2013Political knowledge reduces hindsight memory distortion in election judgements11 cited

2002Hindsight Bias and Individual Risk Attitude within the Context of Experimental Asset Markets11 cited

2007What Have We Learned from Our Mistakes?10 cited

1991Hindsight bias in a very sparse environment8 cited

2019Wikipedia outperforms individuals when it comes to hindsight bias6 cited

2019Can knowledge of election results change recall of our predictions? Neural correlates of political hindsight bias5 cited