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The Relationship Between the Length of the Base Period and Population Forecast Errors
10 references·7 citing·35 second hop
The Relationship Between the Length of the Base Period and Population Forecast Errors (1990)The Relationship Between the Length of th…Stability over time in the distribution of population forecast errors (1988)Stability over time in the di…Tests of Forecast Accuracy and Bias for County Population Projections (1987)Tests of Forecast Accuracy an…The art and science of forecasting An assessment and future directions (1986)The art and science of foreca…An assessment of the accuracy of a regional economic-demographic projection model (1984)An assessment of the accuracy…Forecasting: An appraisal for policy-makers and planners (1979)Forecasting: An appraisal for…Forecasting (1979)ForecastingThe Accuracy of Population Projections for Subcounty Areas (1977)The Accuracy of Population Pr…Empirical Study of the Accuracy of Selected Methods of Projecting State Populations (1954)Empirical Study of the Accura…Population of the United States, 1925 to 1975 (1928)Population of the United Stat…A Formula for Predicting the Population of the United States (1891)A Formula for Predicting the …Subnational Population Projections by Age: An Evaluation of Combined Forecast Techniques (2015)Subnational Population Projec…Spatial weighting improves accuracy in small-area demographic forecasts of urban census tract populations (2014)Spatial weighting improves ac…Indirect Estimates of Total Fertility Rate Using Child Woman/Ratio: A Comparison with the Bogue-Palmore Method (2013)Indirect Estimates of Total F…Population forecast accuracy: does the choice of summary measure of error matter? (2007)Population forecast accuracy:…On MAPE-R as a measure of cross-sectional estimation and forecast accuracy (2007)On MAPE-R as a measure of cro…State Population Projections (2002)State Population ProjectionsBetween a rock and a hard place: The evaluation of demographic forecasts (1995)Between a rock and a hard pla…Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons (1992)Beyond accuracy: Comparison of criteria used to select forecasting methods (1995)Population Projections by Age for Florida and its Counties: Assessing Accuracy and the Impact of Adjustments (2014)State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis (2014)The Methods and Materials of Demography. (1973)Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts (1990)Evaluating the forecast accuracy and bias of alternative population projections for states (1992)Simple versus complex models: Evaluation, accuracy, and combining (1995)Precision, bias, and uncertainty for state population forecasts: an exploratory analysis of time series models (2007)Research on Internal Migration in the United States: A Survey (2016)The Limits of Population Forecasting (1981)The Accuracy of Population Projections (1983)On the validity of MAPE as a measure of population forecast accuracy (1999)Assessing uncertainty in urban simulations using Bayesian melding (2007)Economic Growth in a Free Market (1965)Methods (the) and Materials of Demography (1974)Methods for Small Area Population Forecasts: State-of-the-Art and Research Needs (2021)A BEHAVIORAL MODEL OF RATIONAL CHOICE (1955)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Forecasting tourism demand: A comparison of the accuracy of several quantitative methods (1989)The forecasting of International Expo tourism using quantitative and qualitative techniques (2008)Distributions of forecasting errors of forecast combinations: Implications for inventory management (2016)Methods of Regional Analysis. (1961)Requiem for Large-Scale Models (1973)Projection, Forecast, and Plan On the Future of Population Forecasting (1984)Pitfalls in Population Forecasts and Projections (1950)Projecting the Older Population of the United States: Lessons from the Past and Prospects for the Future (1988)Probabilistic population forecasting: Short to very long-term (2021)An evaluation of Delphi (1991)What Can History Teach Us? A Retrospective Examination of Long-Term Energy Forecasts for the United States (2002)Exploratory Modeling and Analysis, an approach for model-based foresight under deep uncertainty (2012)The face of 2010: A Delphi poll on the future of psychotherapy. (2002)Improving Predictions using Ensemble Bayesian Model Averaging (2012)Survival of the Un-fittest: Why the Worst Infrastructure Gets Built - and What We Can Do about It (2013)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1979Forecasting: An appraisal for policy-makers and planners294 cited
  • 1979Forecasting160 cited
  • 1986The art and science of forecasting An assessment and future directions131 cited
  • 1987Tests of Forecast Accuracy and Bias for County Population Projections103 cited
  • 1928Population of the United States, 1925 to 197591 cited
  • 1977The Accuracy of Population Projections for Subcounty Areas79 cited
  • 1988Stability over time in the distribution of population forecast errors75 cited
  • 1984An assessment of the accuracy of a regional economic-demographic projection model51 cited
  • 1954Empirical Study of the Accuracy of Selected Methods of Projecting State Populations44 cited
  • 1891A Formula for Predicting the Population of the United States27 cited

Cited by

  • 2007Population forecast accuracy: does the choice of summary measure of error matter?44 cited
  • 2007On MAPE-R as a measure of cross-sectional estimation and forecast accuracy40 cited
  • 1995Between a rock and a hard place: The evaluation of demographic forecasts37 cited
  • 2013Indirect Estimates of Total Fertility Rate Using Child Woman/Ratio: A Comparison with the Bogue-Palmore Method16 cited
  • 2002

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State Population Projections
16 cited
  • 2014Spatial weighting improves accuracy in small-area demographic forecasts of urban census tract populations15 cited
  • 2015Subnational Population Projections by Age: An Evaluation of Combined Forecast Techniques14 cited