Joint modelling of propensity and distance for walking-trip generation

Khandker Nurul Habib · Han Xiao · William Haoyang Lin

19 citations0/0 files storedTransportmetrica A Transport Science

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Urban Transport and Accessibility Traffic and Road Safety Transportation Planning and Optimization

Abstract

The paper presents an investigation on walking-trip generation for commuting. It uses advanced econometric models to investigate the importance of considering walking distance jointly with walking propensity in the walking-trip-generation models. Empirical models are estimated by using large-scale household travel survey data collected in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (GTHA) in 1996, 2001 and 2006. Empirical models clearly validate the proposal that for walking, travel distance should be considered jointly with the propensity. The relationship between auto-ownership and walking-trip generation is proved to be very strong, referring that high auto-dependent household and neighbourhoods discourage walking. The empirical models reveal that the baseline walking propensity and distance remain unchanged over the years despite significant efforts to encourage active transportation through mixed land-use policies in the GTHA. This implies that, in addition to land-use policies, more rigorous applications of public education and social marketing are necessary.

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References

2003Environmental correlates of walking and cycling: Findings from the transportation, urban design, and planning literatures 1997A micro-analysis of land use and travel in five neighborhoods in the San Francisco Bay Area 2005To Walk or Not to Walk? The Hierarchy of Walking Needs 2004Active transportation and physical activity: opportunities for collaboration on transportation and public health research 2000Transportation–land-use interaction: empirical findings in North America, and their implications for modeling 2003The relationship between non-motorized mode choice and the local physical environment 2006Correlates of Walking for Transportation or Recreation Purposes 2011Validating walkability indices: How do different households respond to the walkability of their neighborhood?

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