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Cognitive Biases in the Petroleum Industry: Impact and Remediation
16 references·9 citing·38 second hop
Cognitive Biases in the Petroleum Industry: Impact and Remediation (2005)Cognitive Biases in the Petroleum Industr…Overconfidence in Interval Estimates. (2004)Overconfidence in Interval Es…Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)Heuristics and Biases: The Ps…If you don't want to be late, enumerate: Unpacking reduces the planning fallacy (2003)If you don't want to be late,…Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value (2002)Incorporating the Irrelevant:…Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox (2002)Bounded Rationality: The Adap…Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox (2001)Bounded Rationality: The Adap…Exploring the "planning fallacy": Why people underestimate their task completion times. (1994)Exploring the "planning falla…Overconfidence in estimation: Testing the anchoring-and-adjustment hypothesis (1991)Overconfidence in estimation:…Uncertainty (1990)UncertaintyJudgment in Managerial Decision Making (1986)Judgment in Managerial Decisi…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1982)Subjective probability: A jud…Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…The Difficulty of Assessing Uncertainty (includes associated papers 6422 and 6423 and 6424 and 6425 ) (1976)The Difficulty of Assessing U…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Availability: A heuristic for…Identifying technological trajectories in the mining sector using patent citation networks (2022)Identifying technological tra…More-or-less elicitation (MOLE): reducing bias in range estimation and forecasting (2018)More-or-less elicitation (MOL…Automatic Calibration of Uncertainty Estimates Using Anchoring Heuristics (2016)Automatic Calibration of Unce…Uncertainty vs. Variability: What’s the Difference and Why is it Important? (2014)Uncertainty vs. Variability: …The Value of Assessing Uncertainty (2014)The Value of Assessing Uncert…In What Sense is P(A|B) P(B) = P(A,B)? The Relationship between Distributional Format and Subjective Probability Estimates (2010)In What Sense is P(A|B) P(B) …Don't Let It Weigh You Down: How To Benefit From Anchoring (2010)Don't Let It Weigh You Down: …Cognitive Errors in Estimation: Does Anchoring Cause Overconfidence? (2008)Cognitive Errors in Estimatio…An Oil and Gas Decision-Making Taxonomy (2006)An Oil and Gas Decision-Makin…The Principles of Psychology (1891)The Market for "Lemons": Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism (1970)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Ethical Decision Making by Individuals in Organizations: An Issue-Contingent Model (1991)Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making (1997)Conditions for intuitive expertise: A failure to disagree. (2009)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)The theory of planned behavior (1991)Self-Efficacy: The Exercise of Control (1999)Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition (2007)On seeing human: A three-factor theory of anthropomorphism. (2007)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Intraclass correlations: Uses in assessing rater reliability. (1979)The case for motivated reasoning. (1990)Belief and feeling: Evidence for an accessibility model of emotional self-report. (2002)Flawed Self-Assessment (2004)The Intention–Behavior Gap (2016)A BEHAVIORAL MODEL OF RATIONAL CHOICE (1955)Rational choice and the structure of the environment. (1956)Demography and Cultural Evolution: How Adaptive Cultural Processes Can Produce Maladaptive Losses—The Tasmanian Case (2004)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion (1986)Models of ecological rationality: The recognition heuristic. (2002)Social learning strategies (2004)Risk and Rationality in Adolescent Decision Making (2006)Risk Perception and Communication Unplugged: Twenty Years of Process1 (1995)Identification and Review of Sensitivity Analysis Methods (2002)Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science (2012)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability9,980 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 2004Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment3,536 cited
  • 1986Judgment in Managerial Decision Making2,254 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1990Uncertainty1,711 cited
  • 2001Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox1,355 cited
  • 1994Exploring the "planning fallacy": Why people underestimate their task completion times.1,107 cited
  • 2002Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox1,059 cited
  • 2004Overconfidence in Interval Estimates.508 cited
  • 2002Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value415 cited
  • 1991Overconfidence in estimation: Testing the anchoring-and-adjustment hypothesis209 cited
  • 2003If you don't want to be late, enumerate: Unpacking reduces the planning fallacy191 cited
  • 1976The Difficulty of Assessing Uncertainty (includes associated papers 6422 and 6423 and 6424 and 6425 )134 cited

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  • 1982Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness105 cited
  • Cited by

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    • 2022Identifying technological trajectories in the mining sector using patent citation networks25 cited
    • 2006An Oil and Gas Decision-Making Taxonomy12 cited
    • 2008Cognitive Errors in Estimation: Does Anchoring Cause Overconfidence?10 cited
    • 2018More-or-less elicitation (MOLE): reducing bias in range estimation and forecasting6 cited
    • 2010Don't Let It Weigh You Down: How To Benefit From Anchoring6 cited
    • 2010In What Sense is P(A|B) P(B) = P(A,B)? The Relationship between Distributional Format and Subjective Probability Estimates0 cited
    • 2016Automatic Calibration of Uncertainty Estimates Using Anchoring Heuristics0 cited