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Do Road Planners Produce More ‘Honest Numbers’ than Rail Planners? An Analysis of Accuracy in Road‐traffic Forecasts in Cities versus Peripheral Regions
16 references·6 citing·35 second hop
Do Road Planners Produce More ‘Honest Numbers’ than Rail Planners? An Analysis of Accuracy in Road‐traffic Forecasts in Cities versus Peripheral Regions (2006)Do Road Planners Produce More ‘Honest Num…Transportation Research (2005)Transportation ResearchHow (In)accurate Are Demand Forecasts in Public Works Projects?: The Case of Transportation (2005)How (In)accurate Are Demand F…Explaining Society (2005)Explaining SocietyMegaprojects and Risk (2003)Megaprojects and RiskUnderestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie? (2002)Underestimating Costs in Publ…Explaining Society, Critical Realism in the Social Sciences (2002)Explaining Society, Critical …Disappearing traffic? The story so far (2002)Disappearing traffic? The sto…Bringing Power to Planning Research (2002)Bringing Power to Planning Re…A review of the evidence for induced travel and changes in transportation and environmental policy in the US and the UK (2002)A review of the evidence for …Explaining Society: Critical Realism in the Social Sciences (2001)Explaining Society: Critical …The self-defeating nature of urban road capacity policy (1997)The self-defeating nature of …Critical mass : transport, environment and society in the twenty-first century (1997)Critical mass : transport, en…From ‘predict and provide’ to ‘predict and prevent’?: Pricing and planning in transport policy (1995)From ‘predict and provide’ to…TRANSPORT AND THE ECONOMY (1994)TRANSPORT AND THE ECONOMYCities and automobile dependence (1989)Cities and automobile depende…Forecasting: An appraisal for policy-makers and planners (1979)Forecasting: An appraisal for…Risk pricing inefficiency in public–private partnerships (2017)Risk pricing inefficiency in …Accuracy of the Gothenburg congestion charges forecast (2016)Accuracy of the Gothenburg co…Forecasting inaccuracies: a result of unexpected events, optimism bias, technical problems, or strategic misrepresentation? (2015)Forecasting inaccuracies: a r…Accounting for the inaccuracies in demand forecasts and construction cost estimations in transport project evaluation (2014)Accounting for the inaccuraci…Hubris or humility? Accuracy issues for the next 50 years of travel demand modeling (2013)Hubris or humility? Accuracy …Public-Private Partnerships In Transport (2007)Public-Private Partnerships I…THE SCHEDULING OF CONSUMER ACTIVITIES: WORK TRIPS (1982)Is public expenditure productive? (1989)Still Stuck in Traffic: Coping with Peak-Hour Traffic Congestion (2004)Urban form and travel behavior: experience from a Nordic context (2012)Human Settlements, Infrastructure and Spatial Planning (2014)Human Settlements, Infrastructure, and Spatial Planning (2015)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Heuristics and Biases (2002)From Nobel Prize to Project Management: Getting Risks Right (2006)Survival of the unfittest: why the worst infrastructure gets built--and what we can do about it (2009)Should we build more large dams? The actual costs of hydropower megaproject development (2014)Making democracy work: civic traditions in modern Italy (1993)Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy (1993)Making Democracy Work (1994)Scalar Narratives in Bilbao: A Cultural Politics of Scales Approach to the Study of Urban Policy (2006)Strategy as performative practice (2011)City Branding and the Link to Urban Planning: Theories, Practices, and Challenges (2019)The Future of the Capitalist State (2005)What you Should Know about Megaprojects and Why: An Overview (2014)Reflections on the ‘Realist Turn’ in Organization and Management Studies (2005)Data-Driven Innovation through Open Government Data (2014)A realist approach to thematic analysis: making sense of qualitative data through experiential, inferential and dispositional themes (2021)Triangulation in Social Research: : Qualitative and Quantitative Methods Can Really Be Mixed (2004)Globalisation, knowledge economy and comparative education (2005)The Generative Mechanisms of Digital Infrastructure Evolution1 (2013)An evaluation of Delphi (1991)What Can History Teach Us? A Retrospective Examination of Long-Term Energy Forecasts for the United States (2002)Exploratory Modeling and Analysis, an approach for model-based foresight under deep uncertainty (2012)Abductive reasoning in logistics research (2005)Applying critical realism in qualitative research: methodology meets method (2016)How common and how large are cost overruns in transport infrastructure projects? (2003)Directions for future research in project management: The main findings of a UK government-funded research network (2006)Willingness-to-Pay Estimation with Mixed Logit Models: Some New Evidence (2005)Curbing Optimism Bias and Strategic Misrepresentation in Planning: Reference Class Forecasting in Practice (2007)Activity-based models of travel demand: promises, progress and prospects (2013)
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References

  • 2003Megaprojects and Risk2,433 cited
  • 2002Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?1,446 cited
  • 2001Explaining Society: Critical Realism in the Social Sciences965 cited
  • 2002Explaining Society, Critical Realism in the Social Sciences785 cited
  • 2005How (In)accurate Are Demand Forecasts in Public Works Projects?: The Case of Transportation731 cited
  • 2005Explaining Society327 cited
  • 2005Transportation Research314 cited
  • 1979Forecasting: An appraisal for policy-makers and planners294 cited
  • 2002Bringing Power to Planning Research271 cited
  • 2002A review of the evidence for induced travel and changes in transportation and environmental policy in the US and the UK255 cited
  • 1989Cities and automobile dependence234 cited
  • 1995From ‘predict and provide’ to ‘predict and prevent’?: Pricing and planning in transport policy199 cited
  • 2002Disappearing traffic? The story so far164 cited
  • 1997The self-defeating nature of urban road capacity policy151 cited
  • 1994TRANSPORT AND THE ECONOMY133 cited
  • 1997Critical mass : transport, environment and society in the twenty-first century

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112 cited

Cited by

  • 2007Public-Private Partnerships In Transport55 cited
  • 2014Accounting for the inaccuracies in demand forecasts and construction cost estimations in transport project evaluation50 cited
  • 2017Risk pricing inefficiency in public–private partnerships40 cited
  • 2013Hubris or humility? Accuracy issues for the next 50 years of travel demand modeling38 cited
  • 2015Forecasting inaccuracies: a result of unexpected events, optimism bias, technical problems, or strategic misrepresentation?25 cited
  • 2016Accuracy of the Gothenburg congestion charges forecast13 cited