SZodixStudyAcademic Library
ShelvesOpen access
Study · an open academic library·Metadata from OpenAlex (CC0)·Shelves·OpenAlex metadata, de-duplicated
Forecasting US population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach
13 references·14 citing·44 second hop
Forecasting US population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach (1992)Forecasting US population totals with the…Uncertainty in National Population Forecasting: Issues, Backgrounds, Analyses, Recommendations (1991)Uncertainty in National Popul…Uncertainty in National Population Forecasting: Issues, Backgrounds, Analyses, Recommendations (1990)Uncertainty in National Popul…Alternative Projections of the U.S. population (1990)Alternative Projections of th…Confidence intervals for population projections based on Monte Carlo methods (1988)Confidence intervals for popu…Methods for National Population Forecasts: A Review (1986)Methods for National Populati…Projections of the Population of the United States, by Age, Sex, and Race: 1983 to 2080. (1984)Projections of the Population…Accuracy in forecasting: A survey (1984)Accuracy in forecasting: A su…The Accuracy of Population Projections (1983)The Accuracy of Population Pr…A time series approach to forecasting Australian total live-births (1979)A time series approach to for…Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Time Series Analysis: Forecas…Forecasting Births in Post-Transition Populations: Stochastic Renewal with Serially Correlated Fertility (1974)Forecasting Births in Post-Tr…Experience with Forecasting Univariate Time Series and the Combination of Forecasts (1974)Experience with Forecasting U…Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control. (1971)Time Series Analysis, Forecas…Stochastic Population Forecast for Germany and Its Consequence for the German Pension System (2017)Stochastic Population Forecas…Spatial weighting improves accuracy in small-area demographic forecasts of urban census tract populations (2014)Spatial weighting improves ac…Quantifying the uncertainty of regional demographic forecasts (2013)Quantifying the uncertainty o…Integrating uncertainty in time series population forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model (2013)Integrating uncertainty in ti…Does Specification Matter? Experiments with Simple Multiregional Probabilistic Population Projections (2012)Does Specification Matter? Ex…A review of sub-regional population projection methods (2011)A review of sub-regional popu…A comparison of official population projections with Bayesian time series forecasts for England and Wales (2010)A comparison of official popu…Precision, bias, and uncertainty for state population forecasts: an exploratory analysis of time series models (2007)Precision, bias, and uncertai…25 Years of Iif Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review (2005)25 Years of Iif Time Series F…Random Scenario Forecasts Versus Stochastic Forecasts (2004)Random Scenario Forecasts Ver…Simplicity and complexity in extrapolatwe population forecasting models (1995)Simplicity and complexity in …Predictability, complexity, and catastrophe in a collapsible model of population, development, and environmental interactions (1995)Predictability, complexity, a…Disaggregatton in population forecasting: Do we need it? And how to do it simply (1995)Disaggregatton in population …Reality check: A bridge between systems thinking and system dynamics (1994)Reality check: A bridge betwe…The Economic Approach to Human Behavior (1976)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Stability over time in the distribution of population forecast errors (1988)Evaluating the forecast accuracy and bias of alternative population projections for states (1992)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Disaggregation methods to expedite product line forecasting (1990)A theory of rolling horizon decision making (1991)Neural Network Forecasting of Tourism Demand (2005)Urban Dynamics (1969)Research on conceptual understanding in mechanics (1984)Systems thinking: Critical thinking skills for the 1990s and beyond (1993)Integrated Supply Chain Model for Sustainable Manufacturing: A System Dynamics Approach (2015)Exploring the investment strategy of power enterprises under the nationwide carbon emissions trading mechanism: A scenario-based system dynamics approach (2020)Exploring the Effect of Misinformation on Infectious Disease Transmission (2022)Effects of Cohort Size on Earnings: The Baby Boom Babies' Financial Bust (1979)The impact of heterogeneity in individual frailty on the dynamics of mortality (1979)Longer Life but Worsening Health? Trends in Health and Mortality of Middle-Aged and Older Persons (1984)Projecting the future size and health status of the US elderly population (1992)Population Projections (2004)A Realist View of Aging, Mortality, and Future Longevity (2007)Principles of Demography. (1969)On Future Population (1972)The Formal Dynamics of Controlled Populations and the Echo, the Boom and the Bust (1974)Sustaining Fiscal Policy through Immigration (2000)Global demographic trends and social security reform (2006)Forecasting Sales by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages (1960)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)Bayesian Forecasting (1976)Tests for Forecast Encompassing (1998)Deep neural networks, gradient-boosted trees, random forests: Statistical arbitrage on the S&P 500 (2016)Stochastic methods in population forecasting (1990)Modeling and forecasting the time series of US fertility: Age distribution, range, and ultimate level (1993)Chapter 9 New findings on secular trends in nutrition and mortality: Some implications for population theory (1997)Population Growth and Earth's Human Carrying Capacity (1995)Statistical Demography and Forecasting (2005)Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries (2011)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Long memory relationships and the aggregation of dynamic models (1980)Understanding spurious regressions in econometrics (1986)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1977Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control19,200 cited
  • 1971Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control.2,771 cited
  • 1974Experience with Forecasting Univariate Time Series and the Combination of Forecasts849 cited
  • 1984Projections of the Population of the United States, by Age, Sex, and Race: 1983 to 2080.264 cited
  • 1983The Accuracy of Population Projections241 cited
  • 1984Accuracy in forecasting: A survey233 cited
  • 1974Forecasting Births in Post-Transition Populations: Stochastic Renewal with Serially Correlated Fertility128 cited
  • 1986Methods for National Population Forecasts: A Review116 cited
  • 1990Alternative Projections of the U.S. population87 cited
  • 1988Confidence intervals for population projections based on Monte Carlo methods66 cited
  • 1979A time series approach to forecasting Australian total live-births55 cited
  • 1990Uncertainty in National Population Forecasting: Issues, Backgrounds, Analyses, Recommendations51 cited
  • 1991Uncertainty in National Population Forecasting: Issues, Backgrounds, Analyses, Recommendations34 cited

Cited by

  • 1994Reality check: A bridge between systems thinking and system dynamics70 cited
  • 2005

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

25 Years of Iif Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review
61 cited
  • 2007Precision, bias, and uncertainty for state population forecasts: an exploratory analysis of time series models49 cited
  • 1995Predictability, complexity, and catastrophe in a collapsible model of population, development, and environmental interactions31 cited
  • 2012Does Specification Matter? Experiments with Simple Multiregional Probabilistic Population Projections25 cited
  • 2013Quantifying the uncertainty of regional demographic forecasts23 cited
  • 1995Simplicity and complexity in extrapolatwe population forecasting models22 cited
  • 1995Disaggregatton in population forecasting: Do we need it? And how to do it simply22 cited
  • 2013Integrating uncertainty in time series population forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model20 cited
  • 2010A comparison of official population projections with Bayesian time series forecasts for England and Wales17 cited
  • 2017Stochastic Population Forecast for Germany and Its Consequence for the German Pension System17 cited
  • 2011A review of sub-regional population projection methods15 cited
  • 2014Spatial weighting improves accuracy in small-area demographic forecasts of urban census tract populations15 cited
  • 2004Random Scenario Forecasts Versus Stochastic Forecasts15 cited