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A group size effect on personal risk judgments: Implications for unrealistic optimism
16 references·16 citing·47 second hopsampled
A group size effect on personal risk judgments: Implications for unrealistic optimism (2001)A group size effect on personal risk judg…MINERVA-DM: A memory processes model for judgments of likelihood. (1999)MINERVA-DM: A memory processe…Unrealistic Optimism: Present and Future (1996)Unrealistic Optimism: Present…Nonunique Invulnerability: Singular versus Distributional Probabilities and Unrealistic Optimism in Comparative Risk Judgments (1996)Nonunique Invulnerability: Si…Explaining and simulating judgment biases as an aggregation phenomenon in probabilistic, multiple-cue environments. (1996)Explaining and simulating jud…Personal contact, individuation, and the better-than-average effect. (1995)Personal contact, individuati…The illusion of control and optimism about health: On being less at risk but no more in control than others (1994)The illusion of control and o…When every relationship is above average: Perceptions and expectations of divorce at the time of marriage. (1993)When every relationship is ab…It won't happen to me: Unrealistic optimism or illusion of control? (1993)It won't happen to me: Unreal…Exemplar-based model of social judgment. (1992)Exemplar-based model of socia…Positive Illusions: Creative Self-Deception and the Healthy Mind (1990)Positive Illusions: Creative …Positive illusions: creative self-deception and the healthy mind (1990)Positive illusions: creative …Self-other judgments and perceived vulnerability to victimization. (1986)Self-other judgments and perc…The Health Belief Model: A Decade Later (1984)The Health Belief Model: A De…Unrealistic optimism about future life events. (1980)Unrealistic optimism about fu…Illusory correlation in interpersonal perception: A cognitive basis of stereotypic judgments (1976)Illusory correlation in inter…Man as an intuitive statistician. (1967)Man as an intuitive statistic…Metacognitive myopia in change detection: A collective approach to overcome a persistent anomaly. (2019)Metacognitive myopia in chang…Sample size bias in retrospective estimates of average duration (2017)Sample size bias in retrospec…Anomalies in the detection of change: When changes in sample size are mistaken for changes in proportions (2015)Anomalies in the detection of…Sample size bias in judgments of perceptual averages. (2014)Sample size bias in judgments…Why Simple Heuristics Make Life Both Easier and Harder: A Social–Psychological Perspective (2012)Why Simple Heuristics Make Li…The Mind as an Intuitive Pollster: Frugal Search in Social Spaces (2012)The Mind as an Intuitive Poll…The Advice of Others: When and How We Benefit From It (2012)The Advice of Others: When an…The “Less-Is-More” Effect in Group Decision Making (2012)The “Less-Is-More” Effect in …Simple Heuristics: The Foundations of Adaptive Social Behavior (2012)Simple Heuristics: The Founda…Simple Heuristics and Information Sharing in Groups (2012)Simple Heuristics and Informa…Probabilistic Persuasion: A Brunswikian Theory of Argumentation (2012)Probabilistic Persuasion: A B…Sample size bias in the estimation of means (2010)Sample size bias in the estim…Direct-comparison judgments: When and why above- and below-average effects reverse. (2008)Direct-comparison judgments: …The effect of target group size on risk judgments and comparative optimism: The more, the riskier. (2006)The effect of target group si…Peering Into the Bias Blind Spot: People’s Assessments of Bias in Themselves and Others (2005)Peering Into the Bias Blind S…Frequency judgements and retrieval structures: splitting, zooming, and merging the units of the empirical world (2002)Frequency judgements and retr…A Theory of Social Comparison Processes (1954)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Features of similarity. (1977)Ten years of research on the false-consensus effect: An empirical and theoretical review. (1987)Unrealistic optimism about susceptibility to health problems: Conclusions from a community-wide sample (1987)Optimistic Biases About Personal Risks (1989)Social Psychology of Intergroup Relations (1982)Psychology of intergroup relations (1986)Thinking is for doing: Portraits of social cognition from Daguerreotype to laserphoto. 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References

  • 1984The Health Belief Model: A Decade Later8,429 cited
  • 1980Unrealistic optimism about future life events.4,996 cited
  • 1967Man as an intuitive statistician.966 cited
  • 1995Personal contact, individuation, and the better-than-average effect.913 cited
  • 1976Illusory correlation in interpersonal perception: A cognitive basis of stereotypic judgments798 cited
  • 1990Positive illusions: creative self-deception and the healthy mind779 cited
  • 1986Self-other judgments and perceived vulnerability to victimization.703 cited
  • 1992Exemplar-based model of social judgment.640 cited
  • 1990Positive Illusions: Creative Self-Deception and the Healthy Mind549 cited
  • 1993It won't happen to me: Unrealistic optimism or illusion of control?531 cited
  • 1996Unrealistic Optimism: Present and Future524 cited
  • 1999MINERVA-DM: A memory processes model for judgments of likelihood.349 cited
  • 1993When every relationship is above average: Perceptions and expectations of divorce at the time of marriage.239 cited
  • 1996Explaining and simulating judgment biases as an aggregation phenomenon in probabilistic, multiple-cue environments.210 cited
  • 1996Nonunique Invulnerability: Singular versus Distributional Probabilities and Unrealistic Optimism in Comparative Risk Judgments

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187 cited
  • 1994The illusion of control and optimism about health: On being less at risk but no more in control than others181 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2005Peering Into the Bias Blind Spot: People’s Assessments of Bias in Themselves and Others255 cited
    • 2006The effect of target group size on risk judgments and comparative optimism: The more, the riskier.43 cited
    • 2008Direct-comparison judgments: When and why above- and below-average effects reverse.24 cited
    • 2012Simple Heuristics: The Foundations of Adaptive Social Behavior19 cited
    • 2010Sample size bias in the estimation of means18 cited
    • 2002Frequency judgements and retrieval structures: splitting, zooming, and merging the units of the empirical world12 cited
    • 2014Sample size bias in judgments of perceptual averages.11 cited
    • 2012The Mind as an Intuitive Pollster: Frugal Search in Social Spaces11 cited
    • 2015Anomalies in the detection of change: When changes in sample size are mistaken for changes in proportions9 cited
    • 2012Probabilistic Persuasion: A Brunswikian Theory of Argumentation7 cited
    • 2019Metacognitive myopia in change detection: A collective approach to overcome a persistent anomaly.6 cited
    • 2012The “Less-Is-More” Effect in Group Decision Making4 cited
    • 2017Sample size bias in retrospective estimates of average duration4 cited
    • 2012Simple Heuristics and Information Sharing in Groups2 cited
    • 2012Why Simple Heuristics Make Life Both Easier and Harder: A Social–Psychological Perspective2 cited
    • 2012The Advice of Others: When and How We Benefit From It1 cited