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Theories of Bias in Probability Judgment

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References

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1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
1986Decision analysis and behavioral research3,035 cited
1965Category judgment: A range-frequency model.1,113 cited
1982Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty613 cited
1979Source credibility in social judgment: Bias, expertise, and the judge's point of view.509 cited
1983Bayesian inference: Combining base rates with opinions of sources who vary in credibility.253 cited
1976An investigation of the relations among probability estimates117 cited
1986Conjunction errors: Evidence for multiple judgment procedures, including “signed summation”103 cited
1990Judgments of proportions.93 cited
1981Measuring the importance of cues in judgment for individuals: Subjective theories of IQ as a function of heredity and environment63 cited

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2011Why Don’t People Think Evolution Is True? Implications for Teaching, In and Out of the Classroom54 cited
2011On the conjunction fallacy and the meaning of and, yet again: A reply to33 cited

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2015Noisy probability judgment, the conjunction fallacy, and rationality: Comment on Costello and Watts (2014).9 cited

2025Models of human probability judgment errors2 cited

2017Une nouvelle approche expérimentale pour tester les modèles quantiques de l’erreur de conjonction1 cited

2023Review: Models of Human Probability Judgment Errors1 cited