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An Axiomatic Approach to Expert Resolution

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References

1968The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions370 cited
1977Combining Expert Judgments: A Bayesian Approach350 cited
1974Decision Analysis Expert Use288 cited
1964EXTERNALLY BAYESIAN GROUPS64 cited

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2009A Kullback-Leibler View of Linear and Log-Linear Pools90 cited
1995Coherent combination of experts' opinions87 cited
1985Combining Individual Judgments84 cited
2021A survey of human judgement and quantitative forecasting methods78 cited
1986Expert Resolution62 cited
1990Unanimity and Compromise Among Probability Forecasters60 cited
1996Maximum Entropy Aggregation of Expert Predictions56 cited
1989Filtering information from human experts47 cited
1986Calibration and the Aggregation of Probabilities42 cited
1986Probability and uncertainty in nuclear safety decisions38 cited
1992A review of expert judgment techniques with reference to nuclear safety34 cited
1992Bayesian modeling of expert-to-expert variability and dependence in estimating rare event frequencies

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32 cited

1995Risk analysis of catastrophes using experts' judgements: An empirical study on risk analysis of major civil aircraft accidents in Europe31 cited

1992Experience with probabilistic risk assessment in the nuclear power industry29 cited

1995The search for information — A patient perspective on multiple opinions6 cited

1989A model of decision-making involving two information processors4 cited