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Scenarios and Forecasting
2 references·13 citing·51 second hop
Scenarios and Forecasting (2000)Scenarios and ForecastingScenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead (1985)Scenarios: Uncharted Waters A…Prediction, diagnosis, and causal thinking in forecasting (1982)Prediction, diagnosis, and ca…Mapping disruptive long-term scenarios using a participatory approach (2021)Mapping disruptive long-term …Scenarios in business and management: The current stock and research opportunities (2020)Scenarios in business and man…Scenario planning as organizational intervention (2017)Scenario planning as organiza…Augmenting the intuitive logics scenario planning method for a more comprehensive analysis of causation (2016)Augmenting the intuitive logi…Effect of scenario planning on field experts' judgment of long‐range investment decisions (2014)Effect of scenario planning o…Axiomatic foundation and a structured process for developing firm-specific Intuitive Logics scenarios (2014)Axiomatic foundation and a st…The contribution of scenario analysis to the front-end of new product development (2012)The contribution of scenario …A structuration approach to scenario praxis (2012)A structuration approach to s…Semantic distances for technology landscape visualization (2011)Semantic distances for techno…Combined forecast process: Combining scenario analysis with the technological substitution model (2005)Combined forecast process: Co…Forecasting and Scenario Planning: The Challenges of Uncertainty and Complexity (2004)Forecasting and Scenario Plan…Correspondence to what? Coherence to what? What is good scenario-based decision making? (2003)Correspondence to what? Coher…Definitions and Outcome Variables of Scenario Planning (2002)Definitions and Outcome Varia…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World (2000)Assessing market penetration combining scenario analysis, Delphi, and the technological substitution model: The case of the OLED TV market (2009)Scenarios as channels of forecast advice (2012)Scenario planning, cognition, and strategic investment decisions in a turbulent environment (2019)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Research in Organizational Behavior (1984)Explicating dynamic capabilities: the nature and microfoundations of (sustainable) enterprise performance (2007)Combining scenario planning and business wargaming to better anticipate future competitive dynamics (2018)Scenario Thinking (2018)Corporate foresight as a microfoundation of dynamic capabilities (2019)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Evaluation, Diagnosis, and Prediction in Parole Decision Making (1982)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Improving judgmental time series forecasting: A review of the guidance provided by research (1993)Attribute Causality in Environmental Choice Modelling (2002)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Storytelling as an Instructional Method: Definitions and Research Questions (2009)Scenario construction via Delphi and cross-impact analysis (2011)Scenario orientation and use to support strategy development (2012)A simple substitution model of technological change (1971)Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors (1980)Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking (1995)Market penetration among competitive innovation products: The case of the Smartphone Operating System (2013)The Constitution of Society. (1988)A Theory of Structure: Duality, Agency, and Transformation (1992)The Duality of Technology: Rethinking the Concept of Technology in Organizations (1992)A scenario-based roadmapping method for strategic planning and forecasting: A case study in a testing, inspection and certification company (2016)Forward looking analysis: Investigating how individuals ‘do’ foresight and make sense of the future (2017)Scenario structuring methodology for computer-aided scenario design: An application to envisioning sustainable futures (2020)Thought and language (1962)Handbook of Industrial and Organizational Psychology. (1977)The rise and fall of strategic planning (1995)A Theoretical Model of Scenario Planning (2004)Disciplined imagination: Building scenarios and building theories (2006)Perceived Environmental Uncertainty in scenario planning (2011)Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World (1996)The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning (2005)Scenario-based strategizing: Advancing the applicability in strategists' teams (2017)Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems: Pitfalls and potential (2018)Bibliographic coupling between scientific papers (1963)Co‐citation in the scientific literature: A new measure of the relationship between two documents (1973)Bibliometric Methods in Management and Organization (2014)Exploring the future of startup leadership development (2020)Falling in love with strategic foresight, not only with technology: European deep-tech startups’ roadmap to success (2024)Trends and patterns in ESG research: A bibliometric odyssey and research agenda (2024)Multiple scenario development: Its conceptual and behavioral foundation (1993)Disciplines of Organizational Learning: Contributions and Critiques (1997)A review of scenario planning (2012)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1985Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead1,016 cited
  • 1982Prediction, diagnosis, and causal thinking in forecasting121 cited

Cited by

  • 2016Augmenting the intuitive logics scenario planning method for a more comprehensive analysis of causation103 cited
  • 2002Definitions and Outcome Variables of Scenario Planning102 cited
  • 2003Correspondence to what? Coherence to what? What is good scenario-based decision making?97 cited
  • 2004Forecasting and Scenario Planning: The Challenges of Uncertainty and Complexity82 cited
  • 2020Scenarios in business and management: The current stock and research opportunities68 cited
  • 2014Effect of scenario planning on field experts' judgment of long‐range investment decisions66 cited
  • 2012A structuration approach to scenario praxis48 cited
  • 2005Combined forecast process: Combining scenario analysis with the technological substitution model43 cited
  • 2014Axiomatic foundation and a structured process for developing firm-specific Intuitive Logics scenarios36 cited
  • 2017Scenario planning as organizational intervention35 cited
  • 2012The contribution of scenario analysis to the front-end of new product development24 cited
  • 2021Mapping disruptive long-term scenarios using a participatory approach15 cited

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  • 2011Semantic distances for technology landscape visualization11 cited