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Separating the Brier Score into Calibration and Refinement Components: A Graphical Exposition
6 references·2 citing·28 second hop
Separating the Brier Score into Calibration and Refinement Components: A Graphical Exposition (1985)Separating the Brier Score into Calibrati…A General Method for Comparing Probability Assessors (1989)A General Method for Comparin…The Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters (1983)The Comparison and Evaluation…Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score (1973)A New Vector Partition of the…Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Elicitation of Personal Proba…Reliability for degrees of belief (2014)Reliability for degrees of be…The Calibration Question (1984)The Calibration QuestionThe spread of low-credibility content by social botsTheory of Games and Statistical Decisions. (1955)Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities (1996)Combining Probability Forecasts (2010)Le Comportement de l'Homme Rationnel devant le Risque: Critique des Postulats et Axiomes de l'Ecole Americaine (1953)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1964)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1976)The Theory of Incentives: The Principal-Agent Model (2001)Measuring Expectations (2004)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Knowledge in a Social World (1999)Knowledge and Its Limits (2000)Knowledge and its Limits (2002)Imaginary Foundations (2018)Justifying the principle of indifference (2018)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion (1986)Ethical Decision Making by Individuals in Organizations: An Issue-Contingent Model (1991)Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making (1997)Eliciting properties of probability distributions (2008)Eliciting beliefs: Proper scoring rules, incentives, stakes and hedging (2013)A discussion on: Of Quantiles and Expectiles: Consistent Scoring Functions, Choquet Representations, and Forecast Ranking, by W. Ehm, T. Gneiting, A. Jordan, and A. Krueger (2016)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)Forecast Verification (2011)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1971Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations1,228 cited
  • 1973A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score1,120 cited
  • 1983The Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters603 cited
  • 1989A General Method for Comparing Probability Assessors181 cited

Cited by

  • 2014Reliability for degrees of belief38 cited
  • 1984The Calibration Question14 cited

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