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Using Social Media to Predict Future Events with Agent-Based Markets
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Using Social Media to Predict Future Events with Agent-Based Markets (2010)Using Social Media to Predict Future Even…LOGARITHMIC MARKETS CORING RULES FOR MODULAR COMBINATORIAL INFORMATION AGGREGATION (2012)LOGARITHMIC MARKETS CORING RU…A Utility Framework for Bounded-Loss Market Makers (2012)A Utility Framework for Bound…Predicting the Future with Social Media (2010)Predicting the Future with So…Using Prediction Markets and Twitter to Predict a Swine Flu Pandemic (2009)Using Prediction Markets and …Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities (2006)Interpreting Prediction Marke…Prediction Markets (2004)Prediction MarketsPredicting movie Box-office revenues by exploiting large-scale social media content (2014)Predicting movie Box-office r…Exploiting Social Media for Stock Market Prediction with Factorization Machine (2014)Exploiting Social Media for S…Actionable Information during Extreme Events -- Case Study: Warnings and 2011 Tohoku Earthquake (2012)Actionable Information during…Agreeing to Disagree (1976)Information, trade and common knowledge (1982)Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race (1993)Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice (2006)Sports forecasting: a comparison of the forecast accuracy of prediction markets, betting odds and tipsters (2008)Introduction to Urban Science (2021)Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Market microstructure theory (1995)PREDICTION MARKETS: AN EXTENDED LITERATURE REVIEW (2012)I nvestigate D iscuss E stimate A ggregate for structured expert judgement (2016)A Marketplace for Data (2019)Essays in the Theory of Risk-Bearing. (1972)Recovering Risk Aversion from Option Prices and Realized Returns (2000)A unified framework for dynamic pari-mutuel information market design (2009)Gaming Prediction Markets: Equilibrium Strategies with a Market Maker (2009)A new understanding of prediction markets via no-regret learning (2010)From Intentions to Actions: A Theory of Planned Behavior (1985)The theory of planned behavior (1991)Perceived Behavioral Control, Self‐Efficacy, Locus of Control, and the Theory of Planned Behavior 1 (2002)A Coefficient of Agreement for Nominal Scales (1960)Predicting Elections with Twitter: What 140 Characters Reveal about Political Sentiment (2010)Twitter mood predicts the stock market (2011)Comparing performance of ensemble methods in predicting movie box office revenue (2020)The economics of movies (revisited): A survey of recent literature (2022)The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices (1965)Rational Expectations and the Aggregation of Diverse Information in Laboratory Security Markets (1988)Implied Binomial Trees (1994)The Limits of Arbitrage (1995)Repugnance as a Constraint on Markets (2007)The Power of Stars: Do Star Actors Drive the Success of Movies? (2007)The Promise of Prediction Markets (2008)Comparing Twitter and Traditional Media Using Topic Models (2011)Temporal Patterns of Happiness and Information in a Global Social Network: Hedonometrics and Twitter (2011)Birds of the Same Feather Tweet Together: Bayesian Ideal Point Estimation Using Twitter Data (2014)An Experiment in Integrating Sentiment Features for Tech Stock Prediction in Twitter (2012)A human judgment approach to epidemiological forecasting (2017)
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References

  • 2010Predicting the Future with Social Media2,080 cited
  • 2004Prediction Markets886 cited
  • 2012LOGARITHMIC MARKETS CORING RULES FOR MODULAR COMBINATORIAL INFORMATION AGGREGATION360 cited
  • 2006Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities202 cited
  • 2009Using Prediction Markets and Twitter to Predict a Swine Flu Pandemic145 cited
  • 2012A Utility Framework for Bounded-Loss Market Makers125 cited

Cited by

  • 2014Predicting movie Box-office revenues by exploiting large-scale social media content78 cited
  • 2014Exploiting Social Media for Stock Market Prediction with Factorization Machine33 cited
  • 2012Actionable Information during Extreme Events -- Case Study: Warnings and 2011 Tohoku Earthquake7 cited

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