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Coherence of human judgment in a limited probabilistic environment
12 references·5 citing·37 second hop
Coherence of human judgment in a limited probabilistic environment (1973)Coherence of human judgment in a limited …Conservatism in human information processing (1982)Conservatism in human informa…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Subjective probability: A jud…Individual Decision Behavior (1972)Individual Decision BehaviorComparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment (1971)Comparison of Bayesian and re…Measurement of subjective probability (1970)Measurement of subjective pro…Experiments on probabilistic information processing (1970)Experiments on probabilistic …Subjective sampling distributions and conservatism (1968)Subjective sampling distribut…Intuitive inference about normally distributed populations. (1968)Intuitive inference about nor…Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. (1966)Conservatism in a simple prob…Admissible Probability Measurement Procedures (1966)Admissible Probability Measur…The Method of Paired Comparisons. (1964)The Method of Paired Comparis…Individual Choice Behavior (1962)Individual Choice BehaviorProbability Distributions of Common Repeated Events Are Misestimated. (2019)Probability Distributions of …Are People Programmed to Commit Fallacies? Further Thoughts About the Interpretation of Experimental Data on Probability Judgment (2002)Are People Programmed to Comm…Expectation maximization versus ambition motivation in probability estimation (1978)Expectation maximization vers…The use of probabilistic information in making predictions (1976)The use of probabilistic info…Are Subjective Probabilities Probabilities? (1974)Are Subjective Probabilities …La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives (1937)Differential Weighting: A Review of Methods and Empirical Studies (1970)Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities (1996)A discussion on: Of Quantiles and Expectiles: Consistent Scoring Functions, Choquet Representations, and Forecast Ranking, by W. Ehm, T. Gneiting, A. Jordan, and A. Krueger (2016)New Directions in Psychology (1962)Sensitivity of subjective probability revision. (1965)Intuitive statistical inferences about variances (1968)Probability magnitudes and conservative revision of subjective probabilities. (1968)A catalog of errors (1992)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Rational choice and the structure of the environment. (1956)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)Theory and Methods of Scaling (1958)Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Axiomatic Characterization of the Quadratic Scoring Rule (1998)LOGARITHMIC MARKETS CORING RULES FOR MODULAR COMBINATORIAL INFORMATION AGGREGATION (2012)Metacognitive Failure as a Feature of Those Holding Radical Beliefs (2018)A Bayesian analysis of attribution processes. (1975)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework (1999)Risk Perceptions and Pleasure Travel: An Exploratory Analysis (1992)The Roles of Perceived Inhibitors and Facilitators in Pleasure Travel Destination Decisions (1992)Measuring Inequity Aversion in a Heterogeneous Population Using Experimental Decisions and Subjective Probabilities (2008)An interactive activation model of context effects in letter perception: I. An account of basic findings. (1981)Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation (2001)Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects (2002)Dominance: The baby and the bathwater (1981)Theoretical and empirical review of multinomial process tree modeling (1999)Obtaining Reliable Human Ratings of Valence, Arousal, and Dominance for 20,000 English Words (2018)A model of investor sentiment /The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process (1977)A model of investor sentiment1We are grateful to the NSF for financial support, and to Oliver Blanchard, Alon Brav, John Campbell (a referee), John Cochrane, Edward Glaeser, J.B. Heaton, Danny Kahneman, David Laibson, Owen Lamont, Drazen Prelec, Jay Ritter (a referee), Ken Singleton, Dick Thaler, an anonymous referee, and the editor, Bill Schwert, for comments.1 (1998)
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References

  • 1972Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness4,876 cited
  • 1962Individual Choice Behavior2,469 cited
  • 1971Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment1,819 cited
  • 1964The Method of Paired Comparisons.1,271 cited
  • 1982Conservatism in human information processing1,004 cited
  • 1966Conservatism in a simple probability inference task.856 cited
  • 1966Admissible Probability Measurement Procedures257 cited
  • 1972Individual Decision Behavior253 cited
  • 1968Subjective sampling distributions and conservatism70 cited
  • 1970Measurement of subjective probability69 cited
  • 1968Intuitive inference about normally distributed populations.62 cited
  • 1970Experiments on probabilistic information processing21 cited

Cited by

  • 1974Are Subjective Probabilities Probabilities?12 cited
  • 1976The use of probabilistic information in making predictions11 cited
  • 1978Expectation maximization versus ambition motivation in probability estimation2 cited
  • 2002Are People Programmed to Commit Fallacies? Further Thoughts About the Interpretation of Experimental Data on Probability Judgment

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2 cited
  • 2019Probability Distributions of Common Repeated Events Are Misestimated.0 cited