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How to define and interpret a probability in a risk and safety setting
16 references·16 citing·36 second hopsampled
How to define and interpret a probability in a risk and safety setting (2012)How to define and interpret a probability…On Der logische Aufbau der Welt (2016)On Der logische Aufbau der We…Philosophical Theories of Probability (2012)Philosophical Theories of Pro…Some considerations on the treatment of uncertainties in risk assessment for practical decision making (2010)Some considerations on the tr…Representation, Propagation, and Decision Issues in Risk Analysis Under Incomplete Probabilistic Information (2010)Representation, Propagation, …The reference class problem is your problem too (2007)The reference class problem i…Probability: A Philosophical Introduction (2005)Probability: A Philosophical …How Useful Is Quantitative Risk Assessment? (2004)How Useful Is Quantitative Ri…Handbook of the history of logic (2004)Handbook of the history of lo…Probabilistic Risk Analysis (2001)Probabilistic Risk AnalysisProbabilistic risk analysis (2001)Probabilistic risk analysisAn Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic (2001)An Introduction to Probabilit…Der logische Aufbau der Welt (1998)Der logische Aufbau der WeltDifferent methods are needed to propagate ignorance and variability (1996)Different methods are needed …The Concept of Probability in Safety Assessments of Technological Systems (1990)The Concept of Probability in…A Treatise on Probability (1973)A Treatise on ProbabilityRational Decisions (1952)Rational DecisionsData‐driven predictive modeling in risk assessment: Challenges and directions for proper uncertainty representation (2023)Data‐driven predictive modeli…Risk assessment: What is it worth? Shall we just do away with it, or can it do a better job? (2017)Risk assessment: What is it w…Prediction in a risk analysis context: Implications for selecting a risk perspective in practical applications (2017)Prediction in a risk analysis…How the definition of security risk can be made compatible with safety definitions (2017)How the definition of securit…How some types of risk assessments can support resilience analysis and management (2017)How some types of risk assess…Forecasts or fortune-telling: When are expert judgements of safety risk valid? (2017)Forecasts or fortune-telling:…A new definition of complexity in a risk analysis setting (2017)A new definition of complexit…Risk and sustainability analysis of complex hydrogen infrastructures (2016)Risk and sustainability analy…Moving beyond probabilities – Strength of knowledge characterisations applied to security (2016)Moving beyond probabilities –…Managing risks in the Indonesian seaweed supply chain (2016)Managing risks in the Indones…Risk Matrix Integrating Risk Attitudes Based on Utility Theory (2015)Risk Matrix Integrating Risk …Dismissal of the illusion of uncertainty in the assessment of a likelihood ratio (2015)Dismissal of the illusion of …An integrated framework for effective safety management evaluation: Application of an improved grey clustering measurement (2015)An integrated framework for e…Treatment of uncertainty in risk assessments in the Rogfast road tunnel project (2013)Treatment of uncertainty in r…On How to Deal with Deep Uncertainties in a Risk Assessment and Management Context (2013)On How to Deal with Deep Unce…How Fukushima Dai-ichi core meltdown changed the probability of nuclear accidents? (2013)How Fukushima Dai-ichi core m…A Guide to Simulation (1983)Propagation of Uncertainty in Risk Assessments: The Need to Distinguish Between Uncertainty Due to Lack of Knowledge and Uncertainty Due to Variability (1994)An introduction to error analysis: the study of uncertainties in physical measurements (1997)Error and uncertainty in modeling and simulation (2002)Constructing Probability Boxes and Dempster-Shafer Structures (2003)Verification, validation, and predictive capability in computational engineering and physics (2004)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)On The Quantitative Definition of Risk (1981)Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis in the presence of stochastic and subjective uncertainty (1997)Calibration, validation, and sensitivity analysis: What's what (2006)The future of risk assessment (2018)Handbook of human-reliability analysis with emphasis on nuclear power plant applications. Final report (1983)Human Error (1990)On the Complex Definition of Risk: A Systems‐Based Approach (2009)Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making (2004)Assertion, Knowledge, and Rational Credibility (2006)Numeric, Verbal, and Visual Formats of Conveying Health Risks: Suggested Best Practices and Future Recommendations (2007)Discovering complexity: decomposition and localization as strategies in scientific research (1993)The philosophical novelty of computer simulation methods (2008)Verbal Disputes (2011)Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate? (2000)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)A Material Theory of Induction (2003)Generalization in Qualitative Research (2005)The knowledge pyramid: a critique of the DIKW hierarchy (2008)An overview of quantitative risk measures for loss of life and economic damage (2003)Climate Change: New Dimensions in Disaster Risk, Exposure, Vulnerability, and Resilience (2012)A practical guide to structured expert elicitation using the IDEA protocol (2017)Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Bayesian Analysis of DSGE Models (2007)Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness (2007)“P(oint)-c(oincidence) thinking”: The ironical attachment of logical empiricism to general relativity (and some lingering consequences) (1992)Covert Patterns of Modality (2020)Reasons First (2021)
this work references cited by second hop· second hop is a sample of the most-cited connections

References

  • 1973A Treatise on Probability2,575 cited
  • 1998Der logische Aufbau der Welt1,071 cited
  • 1952Rational Decisions975 cited
  • 2001Probabilistic Risk Analysis756 cited
  • 2001An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic674 cited
  • 1990The Concept of Probability in Safety Assessments of Technological Systems629 cited
  • 1996Different methods are needed to propagate ignorance and variability621 cited
  • 2012Philosophical Theories of Probability596 cited
  • 2004How Useful Is Quantitative Risk Assessment?412 cited
  • 2016On Der logische Aufbau der Welt366 cited
  • 2010Some considerations on the treatment of uncertainties in risk assessment for practical decision making337 cited
  • 2007The reference class problem is your problem too285 cited
  • 2004Handbook of the history of logic204 cited
  • 2005Probability: A Philosophical Introduction155 cited
  • 2010Representation, Propagation, and Decision Issues in Risk Analysis Under Incomplete Probabilistic Information134 cited
  • 2001Probabilistic risk analysis120 cited

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Cited by

  • 2017How some types of risk assessments can support resilience analysis and management102 cited
  • 2015Dismissal of the illusion of uncertainty in the assessment of a likelihood ratio85 cited
  • 2015Risk Matrix Integrating Risk Attitudes Based on Utility Theory75 cited
  • 2016Managing risks in the Indonesian seaweed supply chain71 cited
  • 2017Forecasts or fortune-telling: When are expert judgements of safety risk valid?70 cited
  • 2013On How to Deal with Deep Uncertainties in a Risk Assessment and Management Context66 cited
  • 2017Risk assessment: What is it worth? Shall we just do away with it, or can it do a better job?56 cited
  • 2017A new definition of complexity in a risk analysis setting54 cited
  • 2016Risk and sustainability analysis of complex hydrogen infrastructures45 cited
  • 2016Moving beyond probabilities – Strength of knowledge characterisations applied to security43 cited
  • 2015An integrated framework for effective safety management evaluation: Application of an improved grey clustering measurement43 cited
  • 2017How the definition of security risk can be made compatible with safety definitions42 cited
  • 2013Treatment of uncertainty in risk assessments in the Rogfast road tunnel project39 cited
  • 2013How Fukushima Dai-ichi core meltdown changed the probability of nuclear accidents?32 cited
  • 2017Prediction in a risk analysis context: Implications for selecting a risk perspective in practical applications30 cited
  • 2023Data‐driven predictive modeling in risk assessment: Challenges and directions for proper uncertainty representation29 cited