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An examination of factors affecting accuracy in technology forecasts
11 references·3 citing·44 second hop
An examination of factors affecting accuracy in technology forecasts (2012)An examination of factors affecting accur…Fast and frugal forecasting (2009)Fast and frugal forecastingWhat can past technology forecasts tell us about the future? (2002)What can past technology fore…The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications (2000)The M3-Competition: results, …Forecasting methods and applications (1993)Forecasting methods and appli…Forecasting: Methods and Applications (1984)Forecasting: Methods and Appl…Accuracy in forecasting: A survey (1984)Accuracy in forecasting: A su…Comparing for Different Time Series Methods the Value of Technical Expertise Individualized Analysis, and Judgmental Adjustment (1983)Comparing for Different Time …Long-Range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer (1979)Long-Range Forecasting: From …Accuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation (1979)Accuracy of Forecasting: An E…A Comparative Examination of Management Forecasts and Box-Jenkins Forecasts of Earnings. (1976)A Comparative Examination of …A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting (1972)A Comparative Study of Method…Deep learning-based prediction of future growth potential of technologies (2021)Deep learning-based predictio…Technology Futures From Passive Crowdsourcing (2016)Technology Futures From Passi…A Retrospective Analysis of Technology Forecasting (2013)A Retrospective Analysis of T…The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1963)Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods (1969)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)ARMA Models and the Box-Jenkins Methodology (1997)Time series forecasts of international travel demand for Australia (2002)Forecasting and operational research: a review (2008)The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years, by Herman Kahn, Anthony J. Wiener (1968)The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the next Thirty-three Years. (1969)MEGAMISTAKES: Forecasting and the Myth of Rapid Technological Change (1989)The over-optimism among experts in assessment and foresight (2004)Using the Delphi Technique in Normative Planning Research: Methodological Design Considerations (2008)The Strategy-Technology Firm Fit Audit: A guide to opportunity assessment and selection (2010)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Disaggregation methods to expedite product line forecasting (1990)A theory of rolling horizon decision making (1991)Neural Network Forecasting of Tourism Demand (2005)Forecasting Sales by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages (1960)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Forecasting retail sales using alternative models (1986)Judgemental revision of sales forecasts: A longitudinal eetension (1989)Forecasting Economic Time Series (2000)Do ‘big losses’ in judgmental adjustments to statistical forecasts affect experts’ behaviour? (2015)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Statistical and Machine Learning forecasting methods: Concerns and ways forward (2018)Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current status and future directions (2020)Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality. (1996)Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart (1999)Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient is the 1/ N Portfolio Strategy? (2007)Illusions in regression analysis (2012)Board Structure to Enhance Social Responsibility Development: A Qualitative Comparative Analysis of US Companies (2017)Expert biases in technology foresight. Why they are a problem and how to mitigate them (2019)THE CONSENSUS AND ACCURACY OF SOME PREDICTIONS OF THE GROWTH OF CORPORATE EARNINGS (1968)The prediction of air travel and aircraft technology to the year 2000 using the Delphi method (1976)Forecasting tourism revisited (1984)Sales forecasting practices (1987)Evaluation of Economic Forecasts (2016)The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)An examination of the accuracy of judgmental extrapolation of time series (1985)Hybrid Delphi: A methodology to facilitate contribution from experts in professional contexts (2011)The Delphi Technique in Educational Research (2014)Immediate impact of minimum unit pricing on alcohol purchases in Scotland: controlled interrupted time series analysis for 2015-18 (2019)The effect of challenge-based gamification on learning: An experiment in the context of statistics education (2020)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1993Forecasting methods and applications2,393 cited
  • 2000The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications1,700 cited
  • 1984Forecasting: Methods and Applications636 cited
  • 1979Accuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation514 cited
  • 1984Accuracy in forecasting: A survey233 cited
  • 1979Long-Range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer226 cited
  • 2009Fast and frugal forecasting165 cited
  • 2002What can past technology forecasts tell us about the future?91 cited
  • 1983Comparing for Different Time Series Methods the Value of Technical Expertise Individualized Analysis, and Judgmental Adjustment77 cited
  • 1972A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting55 cited
  • 1976A Comparative Examination of Management Forecasts and Box-Jenkins Forecasts of Earnings.48 cited

Cited by

  • 2013A Retrospective Analysis of Technology Forecasting35 cited
  • 2021Deep learning-based prediction of future growth potential of technologies13 cited
  • 2016Technology Futures From Passive Crowdsourcing12 cited

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