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Focusing techniques: A shortcut to improving probability judgments?
16 references·16 citing·25 second hopsampled
Focusing techniques: A shortcut to improving probability judgments? (1984)Focusing techniques: A shortcut to improv…Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Judgment Under Uncertainty: H…Decision making under uncertainty (1984)Decision making under uncerta…On the study of statistical intuitions (1982)On the study of statistical i…Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…Evidential impact of base rates (1982)Evidential impact of base rat…Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty (1982)Causal schemas in judgments u…The effects of base rates and individuating information on judgments about another person (1980)The effects of base rates and…The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments (1980)The base-rate fallacy in prob…Subjective sensitivity analysis (1979)Subjective sensitivity analys…Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation (1976)Dominance of accuracy informa…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…A case of radical probability estimation. (1973)A case of radical probability…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Subjective probability: A jud…Mechanization in problem solving: The effect of Einstellung. (1942)Mechanization in problem solv…Developing expert political judgment: The impact of training and practice on judgmental accuracy in geopolitical forecasting tournaments (2016)Developing expert political j…Task familiarity and contextual cues predict hypothetical bias in a meta-analysis of stated preference studies (2012)Task familiarity and contextu…Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives (2002)Understanding Misunderstandin…Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics” (2002)Sympathetic Magical Thinking:…Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They “Should” (2002)Self-Anchoring in Conversatio…Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)Norm Theory: Comparing Realit…Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem (2002)Mental Contamination and the …Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning (2002)Extensional versus Intuitive …Do Analysts Overreact? (2002)Do Analysts Overreact?Automated Choice Heuristics (2002)Automated Choice HeuristicsThe Heuristics and Biases Approach to Judgment Under Uncertainty (2001)The Heuristics and Biases App…How are base-rates used, when they are used: a comparison of additive and Bayesian models of base-rate use (1999)How are base-rates used, when…Judgemental and statistical time series forecasting: a review of the literature (1996)Judgemental and statistical t…Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions. (1995)Resistance of personal risk p…Effects of cue consistency and value on base-rate utilization. (1989)Effects of cue consistency an…Diagnosticity and pseudodiagnosticity. (1983)Diagnosticity and pseudodiagn…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Emotional processing of fear: Exposure to corrective information. (1986)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment (1971)Judged frequency of lethal events. (1978)Conservatism in human information processing (1982)Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average (1998)The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion (1986)Ethical Decision Making by Individuals in Organizations: An Issue-Contingent Model (1991)Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making (1997)Unrealistic optimism about future life events. (1980)The role of theories in conceptual coherence. (1985)Biased assimilation and attitude polarization: The effects of prior theories on subsequently considered evidence. (1979)Differential contributions of majority and minority influence. (1986)The support of autonomy and the control of behavior. (1987)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)
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References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.5,656 cited
  • 1972Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness4,876 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 1980The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments1,184 cited
  • 1942Mechanization in problem solving: The effect of Einstellung.1,143 cited
  • 1982On the study of statistical intuitions718 cited
  • 1982Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty613 cited
  • 1982Evidential impact of base rates591 cited
  • 1976Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation372 cited
  • 1984Decision making under uncertainty296 cited
  • 1980The effects of base rates and individuating information on judgments about another person185 cited
  • 1979Subjective sensitivity analysis181 cited
  • 1973A case of radical probability estimation.

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149 cited

Cited by

  • 2002Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives289 cited
  • 2002Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics”191 cited
  • 1996Judgemental and statistical time series forecasting: a review of the literature177 cited
  • 1995Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions.166 cited
  • 2002Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem160 cited
  • 1983Diagnosticity and pseudodiagnosticity.150 cited
  • 2002Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives119 cited
  • 2002Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning106 cited
  • 2002Automated Choice Heuristics101 cited
  • 2016Developing expert political judgment: The impact of training and practice on judgmental accuracy in geopolitical forecasting tournaments88 cited
  • 2002Do Analysts Overreact?82 cited
  • 1989Effects of cue consistency and value on base-rate utilization.80 cited
  • 2001The Heuristics and Biases Approach to Judgment Under Uncertainty79 cited
  • 1999How are base-rates used, when they are used: a comparison of additive and Bayesian models of base-rate use75 cited
  • 2012Task familiarity and contextual cues predict hypothetical bias in a meta-analysis of stated preference studies68 cited
  • 2002Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They “Should”67 cited