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Hypothesis generation and confidence in judgment.
16 references·16 citing·33 second hopsampled
Hypothesis generation and confidence in judgment. (1994)Hypothesis generation and confidence in j…Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability. (1994)Support theory: A nonextensio…The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence (1992)The weighing of evidence and …Measures of discrimination skill in probabilistic judgment. (1991)Measures of discrimination sk…Explanation, imagination, and confidence in judgment. (1991)Explanation, imagination, and…The role of construal processes in overconfident predictions about the self and others. (1990)The role of construal process…The effect of choosing on confidence in choice (1990)The effect of choosing on con…Confidence, uncertainty, and the use of information. (1988)Confidence, uncertainty, and …Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method (1987)Components of probability jud…Counterfactual reasoning and accuracy in predicting personal events. (1985)Counterfactual reasoning and …Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…Training for calibration (1980)Training for calibrationFault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation. (1978)Fault trees: Sensitivity of e…Do those who know more also know more about how much they know? (1977)Do those who know more also k…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Subjective probability: A jud…Toward Parsimony in Bias Research: A Proposed Common Framework of Belief-Consistent Information Processing for a Set of Biases (2023)Toward Parsimony in Bias Rese…Consumer conviction and commitment: An appraisal‐based framework for attitude certainty (2013)Consumer conviction and commi…Improving the way we think about projecting future energy use and emissions of carbon dioxide (2008)Improving the way we think ab…Biased samples not mode of presentation: Re-examining the apparent underweighting of rare events in experience-based choice (2008)Biased samples not mode of pr…Satisfaction Strength and Customer Loyalty (2007)Satisfaction Strength and Cus…The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory (2002)The Calibration of Expert Jud…Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics” (2002)Sympathetic Magical Thinking:…Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)Norm Theory: Comparing Realit…Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem (2002)Mental Contamination and the …Inferential Correction (2002)Inferential CorrectionFeelings as Information: Moods Influence Judgments and Processing Strategies (2002)Feelings as Information: Mood…Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation…Explanation and Evidence in Informal Argument (2000)Explanation and Evidence in I…Selective hypothesis testing (1998)Selective hypothesis testingCollaborative Discovery in a Scientific Domain (1997)Collaborative Discovery in a …Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions. (1995)Resistance of personal risk p…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Knowledge and Cognition (1975)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Party Policy in Modern Democracies (2006)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Feedback and Self-Regulated Learning: A Theoretical Synthesis (1995)Associative and propositional processes in evaluation: An integrative review of implicit and explicit attitude change. (2006)Mental imagery in emotion and emotional disorders (2010)A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance (2017)Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment (1971)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)The theory of planned behavior (1991)A power primer. (1992)Handbook of Emotions (1993)On the Shape of the Probability Weighting Function (1999)Perspective Taking as Egocentric Anchoring and Adjustment. (2004)Human Problem Solving (1972)Self-generated validity and other effects of measurement on belief, attitude, intention, and behavior. (1988)Personal contact, individuation, and the better-than-average effect. (1995)Explaining Bargaining Impasse: The Role of Self-Serving Biases (1997)Self-Efficacy: The Exercise of Control (1999)The Bias Blind Spot: Perceptions of Bias in Self Versus Others (2002)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)
this work references cited by second hop· second hop is a sample of the most-cited connections

References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 1972Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness4,876 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1992The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence1,842 cited
  • 1994Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.1,159 cited
  • 1977Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?1,081 cited
  • 1978Fault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation.708 cited
  • 1991Explanation, imagination, and confidence in judgment.561 cited
  • 1985Counterfactual reasoning and accuracy in predicting personal events.430 cited
  • 1980Training for calibration382 cited
  • 1988Confidence, uncertainty, and the use of information.279 cited
  • 1990The role of construal processes in overconfident predictions about the self and others.257 cited
  • 1987Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method233 cited
  • 1990The effect of choosing on confidence in choice

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226 cited
  • 1991Measures of discrimination skill in probabilistic judgment.178 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2002Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability678 cited
    • 2007Satisfaction Strength and Customer Loyalty348 cited
    • 1997Collaborative Discovery in a Scientific Domain316 cited
    • 2002Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives289 cited
    • 2013Consumer conviction and commitment: An appraisal‐based framework for attitude certainty201 cited
    • 2000Explanation and Evidence in Informal Argument200 cited
    • 2002Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics”191 cited
    • 2023Toward Parsimony in Bias Research: A Proposed Common Framework of Belief-Consistent Information Processing for a Set of Biases173 cited
    • 1995Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions.166 cited
    • 2002Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem160 cited
    • 1998Selective hypothesis testing150 cited
    • 2008Biased samples not mode of presentation: Re-examining the apparent underweighting of rare events in experience-based choice149 cited
    • 2002Inferential Correction149 cited
    • 2002Feelings as Information: Moods Influence Judgments and Processing Strategies148 cited
    • 2002The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory148 cited
    • 2008Improving the way we think about projecting future energy use and emissions of carbon dioxide148 cited