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Confidence intervals

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References

1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
1977Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control19,200 cited
1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.5,656 cited
1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
1982The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition1,465 cited
1968Decision Rules for Inventory Management273 cited
1968Decision Rules for Inventory Management155 cited
1986The art and science of forecasting An assessment and future directions131 cited
1971A Simple Method for the Construction of Empirical Confidence Limits for Economic Forecasts97 cited

Cited by

2001Extrapolation for Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Data76 cited
1988Research needs in forecasting76 cited
1987Forecasting methods for marketing76 cited
1988A Simple Method of Computing Prediction Intervals for Time Series Forecasts72 cited
2004Forecasting Competitions: Their Role in Improving Forecasting Practice and Research71 cited
1991Prediction intervals for multiplicative Holt-Winters69 cited

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1988Metaforecasting65 cited

2001Neural Networks for Time-Series Forecasting62 cited

200525 Years of Iif Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review61 cited

1999Evaluating volatility and interval forecasts56 cited

1989Calibration-Based Predictive Distributions: An Application of Prequential Analysis to Interest Rates, Money, Prices, and Output56 cited

1995On the Selection of Error Measures for Comparisons Among Forecasting Methods53 cited

1989Sampling Distributions of Post-Sample Forecasting Errors50 cited

2020Generalizing the Theta method for automatic forecasting49 cited

2019Combining prediction intervals in the M4 competition47 cited

2018Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists43 cited