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Optimal Predictions in Everyday Cognition
7 references·16 citing·37 second hop
Optimal Predictions in Everyday Cognition (2006)Optimal Predictions in Everyday CognitionThe wisdom of crowds: why the many are smarter than the few and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies and nations (2004)The wisdom of crowds: why the…A rational analysis of the selection task as optimal data selection. (1994)A rational analysis of the se…Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Judgment Under Uncertainty: H…Judgment under uncertainty: Causality and attribution (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: C…Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Judgment under UncertaintyJudgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…The Border Between Seeing and Thinking (2023)The Border Between Seeing and…Deciding Fast and Slow: The Role of Cognitive Biases in AI-assisted Decision-making (2022)Deciding Fast and Slow: The R…Resolving uncertainty in a social world (2019)Resolving uncertainty in a so…The life course cube: A tool for studying lives (2018)The life course cube: A tool …The anchoring bias reflects rational use of cognitive resources (2017)The anchoring bias reflects r…Précis of Social Perception and Social Reality: Why accuracy dominates bias and self-fulfilling prophecy. (2017)Précis of Social Perception a…Rational Irrationality: Modeling Climate Change Belief Polarization Using Bayesian Networks (2016)Rational Irrationality: Model…One and Done? Optimal Decisions From Very Few Samples (2014)One and Done? Optimal Decisio…A rational account of pedagogical reasoning: Teaching by, and learning from, examples (2014)A rational account of pedagog…Pure Reasoning in 12-Month-Old Infants as Probabilistic Inference (2011)Pure Reasoning in 12-Month-Ol…Cue Integration With Categories: Weighting Acoustic Cues in Speech Using Unsupervised Learning and Distributional Statistics (2010)Cue Integration With Categori…The Econometrics of DSGE Models (2009)The Econometrics of DSGE Mode…Eye movement evidence that readers maintain and act on uncertainty about past linguistic input (2009)Eye movement evidence that re…Statistical Learning Using Real-World Scenes (2008)Statistical Learning Using Re…Perception of speech reflects optimal use of probabilistic speech cues (2008)Perception of speech reflects…Decision Theory: What "Should" the Nervous System Do? (2007)Decision Theory: What "Should…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1963)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability. (1994)Collective Action and the Evolution of Social Norms (2000)Word learning as Bayesian inference. (2007)Rational choice and the structure of the environment. (1956)Individual Choice Behavior (1962)Unpacking the exploration–exploitation tradeoff: A synthesis of human and animal literatures. (2015)A meta-analytic review of two modes of learning and the description-experience gap. (2017)Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations (1982)Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework (1983)Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy (2005)Macroeconomics after the Crisis: Time to Deal with the Pretense-of-Knowledge Syndrome (2010)Dynare: Reference Manual. Version 4 (2011)Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling (2013)A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance (1957)The Evolution of Cooperation (1981)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)A reflection on economic uncertainty and fertility in Europe: The Narrative Framework (2020)Do human ‘life history strategies’ exist? (2020)Uncertainty and Narratives of the Future: A Theoretical Framework for Contemporary Fertility (2020)Benefits, Adoption Barriers and Myths of Open Data and Open Government (2012)Algorithm appreciation: People prefer algorithmic to human judgment (2019)Delphi Technique in Health Sciences: A Map (2020)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)Perception of Risk (1987)Introduction: epistemic communities and international policy coordination (1992)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)
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References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1982Judgment under Uncertainty8,238 cited
  • 1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.5,656 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Causality and attribution4,616 cited
  • 2004The wisdom of crowds: why the many are smarter than the few and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies and nations2,925 cited
  • 1994A rational analysis of the selection task as optimal data selection.1,054 cited

Cited by

  • 2014One and Done? Optimal Decisions From Very Few Samples501 cited
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  • 2009The Econometrics of DSGE Models402 cited
  • 2023The Border Between Seeing and Thinking367 cited
  • 2008Perception of speech reflects optimal use of probabilistic speech cues350 cited
  • 2016Rational Irrationality: Modeling Climate Change Belief Polarization Using Bayesian Networks332 cited
  • 2011Pure Reasoning in 12-Month-Old Infants as Probabilistic Inference318 cited
  • 2007Decision Theory: What "Should" the Nervous System Do?

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313 cited
  • 2009Eye movement evidence that readers maintain and act on uncertainty about past linguistic input288 cited
  • 2019Resolving uncertainty in a social world277 cited
  • 2014A rational account of pedagogical reasoning: Teaching by, and learning from, examples264 cited
  • 2010Cue Integration With Categories: Weighting Acoustic Cues in Speech Using Unsupervised Learning and Distributional Statistics235 cited
  • 2008Statistical Learning Using Real-World Scenes230 cited
  • 2017The anchoring bias reflects rational use of cognitive resources228 cited
  • 2022Deciding Fast and Slow: The Role of Cognitive Biases in AI-assisted Decision-making193 cited
  • 2017Précis of Social Perception and Social Reality: Why accuracy dominates bias and self-fulfilling prophecy.187 cited