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A Subjectivist View of Calibration.
10 references·10 citing·39 second hop
A Subjectivist View of Calibration. (1982)A Subjectivist View of Calibration.Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…Training for calibration (1980)Training for calibrationA model of calibration for subjective probabilities (1980)A model of calibration for su…Combining Expert Judgments: A Bayesian Approach (1977)Combining Expert Judgments: A…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Decision Analysis Expert Use (1974)Decision Analysis Expert UseAdmissible Probability Measurement Procedures (1966)Admissible Probability Measur…On confirmation and rational betting (1955)On confirmation and rational …Fair bets and inductive probabilities (1955)Fair bets and inductive proba…Coherence and the axioms of confirmation (1955)Coherence and the axioms of c…Modeling the social consequences of testimonial norms (2014)Modeling the social consequen…A cautionary note on global recalibration (2013)A cautionary note on global r…The Modularity of Social Intelligence (2002)The Modularity of Social Inte…Surrogates for Theories (2002)Surrogates for TheoriesReasoning the Fast and Frugal Way (2002)Reasoning the Fast and Frugal…Probabilistic Mental Models (2002)Probabilistic Mental ModelsIdeas in Exile (2002)Ideas in ExileSubjective expected utility theory revisited: A reductio ad absurdum paradox (1992)Subjective expected utility t…Calibration, Coherence, and Scoring Rules (1985)Calibration, Coherence, and S…The Calibration Question (1984)The Calibration QuestionSubjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives (1937)Waging War on Pascal's Wager (2003)Subjective Probabilities should be Sharp (2010)Regularity and Hyperreal Credences (2013)Do those who know more also know more about how much they know? (1977)Accountability and judgment processes in a personality prediction task. (1987)Risk Perception and Communication (1993)How we know--and sometimes misjudge--what others know: Imputing one's own knowledge to others. (1999)The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions (1968)Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction (1983)Combining Economic Forecasts (1986)Some Contributions of Integrated Assessment Models of Global Climate Change (2017)Information Value Theory (1966)Subjective confidence in forecasts (1982)Risks and decisions for conservation and environmental management (2005)Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review (2022)An Introduction to Logic and Scientific Method. (1934)Slightly More Realistic Personal Probability (1967)A Treatise on Probability (1973)Decision Theory as Philosophy (1996)Hume's Problem (2000)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)Differential Weighting: A Review of Methods and Empirical Studies (1970)Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities (1996)A discussion on: Of Quantiles and Expectiles: Consistent Scoring Functions, Choquet Representations, and Forecast Ranking, by W. Ehm, T. Gneiting, A. Jordan, and A. Krueger (2016)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years (2006)The Aim of Inductive Logic (1966)Bayes' Method for Bookies (1969)Dutch Book Arguments (2016)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1980Training for calibration382 cited
  • 1977Combining Expert Judgments: A Bayesian Approach350 cited
  • 1974Decision Analysis Expert Use288 cited
  • 1966Admissible Probability Measurement Procedures257 cited
  • 1955Coherence and the axioms of confirmation231 cited
  • 1955Fair bets and inductive probabilities229 cited
  • 1980A model of calibration for subjective probabilities192 cited
  • 1955On confirmation and rational betting110 cited

Cited by

  • 1985Calibration, Coherence, and Scoring Rules103 cited
  • 2002The Modularity of Social Intelligence57 cited
  • 2014Modeling the social consequences of testimonial norms36 cited
  • 2002Probabilistic Mental Models23 cited
  • 2002Reasoning the Fast and Frugal Way23 cited
  • 1984The Calibration Question14 cited
  • 2013

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A cautionary note on global recalibration
11 cited
  • 1992Subjective expected utility theory revisited: A reductio ad absurdum paradox7 cited
  • 2002Ideas in Exile0 cited
  • 2002Surrogates for Theories0 cited