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Inadequacies of posterior probabilities for the assessment of scientific evidence
16 references·6 citing·26 second hop
Inadequacies of posterior probabilities for the assessment of scientific evidence (2005)Inadequacies of posterior probabilities f…How the Probability of a False Positive Affects the Value of DNA Evidence (2003)How the Probability of a Fals…Expert Evidence and Criminal Justice (2001)Expert Evidence and Criminal …Analysis of Evidence: How to Do Things with Facts Based on Wigmore's Science of Judicial Proof (1998)Analysis of Evidence: How to …A hierarchy of propositions: deciding which level to address in casework (1998)A hierarchy of propositions: …Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists (1996)Statistics and the Evaluation…Expert evidence and forensic misconceptions of the nature of exact science (1996)Expert evidence and forensic …The Evidential Foundations of Probabilistic Reasoning. (1995)The Evidential Foundations of…Interpreting Evidence: Evaluating Forensic Science in the Courtroom (1995)Interpreting Evidence: Evalua…Establishing the evidential value of a small quantity of material found at a crime scene (1993)Establishing the evidential v…The Probability of an Ultimate Issue: The Strange Cases of Paternity Testing (1989)The Probability of an Ultimat…Probabilistic reasoning in evidential assessment (1989)Probabilistic reasoning in ev…Exorcism of Ignorance as a Proxy for Rational Knowledge: The Lessons of Handwriting Identification "Expertise" (1989)Exorcism of Ignorance as a Pr…The Difficulty About Conjunction (1987)The Difficulty About Conjunct…Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1985)Judgement under Uncertainty: …Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1983)Judgement under Uncertainty: …The Probable and The Provable (1977)The Probable and The ProvableMethodological problems in every black-box study of forensic firearm comparisons (2024)Methodological problems in ev…The strange persistence of (source) “identification” claims in forensic literature through descriptivism, diagnosticism and machinism (2022)The strange persistence of (s…The Development and Application of Random Match Probabilities to Firearm and Toolmark Identification (2017)The Development and Applicati…Understanding forensic science opinions (2015)Understanding forensic scienc…Assessment of forensic findings when alternative explanations have different likelihoods—“Blame-the-brother”-syndrome (2012)Assessment of forensic findin…Avoiding probabilistic reasoning fallacies in legal practice using Bayesian networks (2011)Avoiding probabilistic reason…Interpretation of statistical evidence in criminal trials: The prosecutor's fallacy and the defense attorney's fallacy. (1987)A Perspective on Errors, Bias, and Interpretation in the Forensic Sciences and Direction for Continuing Advancement* (2009)What role should investigative facts play in the evaluation of scientific evidence? (2011)Risk (2015)‘Undoubtedly an expert’? Anthropologists in British asylum courts (2004)Law's Looking Glass: Expert Identification Evidence Derived from Photographic and Video Images (2009)Contextual bias and cross-contamination in the forensic sciences: the corrosive implications for investigations, plea bargains, trials and appeals (2014)A BRIEF INTRODUCTION TO EVIDENCE‐CENTERED DESIGN (2003)Focus Article: On the Structure of Educational Assessments (2003)A model for case assessment and interpretation (1998)Identification of gunshot residue: a critical review (2001)Measuring the validity and reliability of forensic likelihood-ratio systems (2011)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)More on the hierarchy of propositions: exploring the distinction between explanations and propositions (2000)The impact of the principles of evidence interpretation on the structure and content of statements (2000)Edgework: A Social Psychological Analysis of Voluntary Risk Taking (1990)The combination of evidence in the transferable belief model (1990)Choice Under Uncertainty: Problems Solved and Unsolved (1992)Introduction: epistemic communities and international policy coordination (1992)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)The Influence of Culture, Community, and the Nested‐Self in the Stress Process: Advancing Conservation of Resources Theory (2001)Pronouns as a preliminary diagnostic for grouping Papuan languages (2005)Failed Forensics: How Forensic Science Lost Its Way and How It Might Yet Find It (2008)The Signature Effect: Signing Influences Consumption-Related Behavior by Priming Self-Identity (2011)Forensic culture as epistemic culture: The sociology of forensic science (2012)
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References

  • 1983Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases3,812 cited
  • 1985Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases1,356 cited
  • 1977The Probable and The Provable873 cited
  • 1996Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists567 cited
  • 1995The Evidential Foundations of Probabilistic Reasoning.505 cited
  • 1998A hierarchy of propositions: deciding which level to address in casework454 cited
  • 1995Interpreting Evidence: Evaluating Forensic Science in the Courtroom368 cited
  • 2003How the Probability of a False Positive Affects the Value of DNA Evidence142 cited
  • 2001Expert Evidence and Criminal Justice107 cited
  • 1989Exorcism of Ignorance as a Proxy for Rational Knowledge: The Lessons of Handwriting Identification "Expertise"87 cited
  • 1987The Difficulty About Conjunction78 cited
  • 1989Probabilistic reasoning in evidential assessment65 cited
  • 1996Expert evidence and forensic misconceptions of the nature of exact science60 cited
  • 1998Analysis of Evidence: How to Do Things with Facts Based on Wigmore's Science of Judicial Proof58 cited
  • 1993Establishing the evidential value of a small quantity of material found at a crime scene

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56 cited
  • 1989The Probability of an Ultimate Issue: The Strange Cases of Paternity Testing52 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2011Avoiding probabilistic reasoning fallacies in legal practice using Bayesian networks35 cited
    • 2022The strange persistence of (source) “identification” claims in forensic literature through descriptivism, diagnosticism and machinism24 cited
    • 2015Understanding forensic science opinions17 cited
    • 2024Methodological problems in every black-box study of forensic firearm comparisons15 cited
    • 2012Assessment of forensic findings when alternative explanations have different likelihoods—“Blame-the-brother”-syndrome13 cited
    • 2017The Development and Application of Random Match Probabilities to Firearm and Toolmark Identification11 cited