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A method to elicit beliefs as most likely intervals
13 references·11 citing·49 second hop
A method to elicit beliefs as most likely intervals (2015)A method to elicit beliefs as most likely…Scoring rules for subjective probability distributions (2016)Scoring rules for subjective …A Penny for Your Thoughts: A Survey of Methods for Eliciting Beliefs (2013)A Penny for Your Thoughts: A …Inducing risk neutral preferences with binary lotteries: A reconsideration (2012)Inducing risk neutral prefere…The Binarized Scoring Rule (2011)The Binarized Scoring RuleA Truth Serum for Non-Bayesians: Correcting Proper Scoring Rules for Risk Attitudes (2009)A Truth Serum for Non-Bayesia…The trouble with overconfidence. (2008)The trouble with overconfiden…Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules…Coherence and Consistency of Investors' Probability Judgments (2007)Coherence and Consistency of …Confidence interval estimation tasks and the economics of overconfidence (2005)Confidence interval estimatio…Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects (2002)Risk Aversion and Incentive E…Money Does Not Induce Risk Neutral Behavior, but Binary Lotteries Do even Worse (1999)Money Does Not Induce Risk Ne…Precision and accuracy of judgmental estimation (1997)Precision and accuracy of jud…Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions (1976)Scoring Rules for Continuous …Comparing input interfaces to elicit belief distributions (2023)Comparing input interfaces to…The influence of empirical and normative expectations on cooperation (2021)The influence of empirical an…Spillover Effects of Institutions on Cooperative Behavior, Preferences, and Beliefs (2021)Spillover Effects of Institut…Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress (2021)Predicting price intervals un…Playing a different game: Situation perception mediates framing effects on cooperative behaviour (2020)Playing a different game: Sit…Overconfidence in Labor Markets (2020)Overconfidence in Labor Marke…Central tendency bias in belief elicitation (2020)Central tendency bias in beli…On the Comparison of Interval Forecasts (2018)On the Comparison of Interval…Giving in the face of risk (2017)Giving in the face of riskEliciting interval beliefs: An experimental study (2017)Eliciting interval beliefs: A…Justice Under Uncertainty (2016)Justice Under UncertaintyJudgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Economic Theory and Experimental Economics (2005)Do Firms Maximize? Evidence from Professional Football (2006)Theory of games and economic behavior (2019)Measuring utility by a single-response sequential method (1964)Belief Elicitation in the Laboratory (2014)Mixing Methods: A Bayesian Approach (2015)Deception and self-deception (2019)La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives (1937)Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions (1975)Comparing Density Forecasts Using Threshold- and Quantile-Weighted Scoring Rules (2010)Forecast Verification (2011)Probabilistic Forecasting (2014)Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness (2007)Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts (2011)Generación de series de tiempo financieras sintéticas para "data augmentation" usando redes neuronales generativas adversarias (GAN) (2021)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Overconfidence and Trading Volume (2005)Financial Overconfidence Over Time - Foresight, Hindsight, and Insight of Investors (2011)Policy overreaction (2012)Measuring Utility by a Single-Response Sequential Method (1964) (1974)A theory of anticipated utility (1982)Gender Differences in Accepting and Receiving Requests for Tasks with Low Promotability (2017)Cognitive Uncertainty (2023)Designing Information Provision Experiments (2023)A progress report on the training of probability assessors (1982)Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years (2006)Metacognition and consciousness (2007)The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments (2009)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Belief Elicitation in Experiments: Is There a Hedging Problem? (2010)Understanding Trust (2013)Society and the Adolescent Self-Image (1965)Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments. (1999)Algorithm Aversion: People Erroneously Avoid Algorithms after Seeing Them Err (2014)Algorithm appreciation: People prefer algorithmic to human judgment (2019)Resource-rational analysis: Understanding human cognition as the optimal use of limited computational resources (2019)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1964)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1976)Oxytocin increases trust in humans (2005)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)INDIVIDUAL RISK ATTITUDES: MEASUREMENT, DETERMINANTS, AND BEHAVIORAL CONSEQUENCES (2011)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 2002Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects5,973 cited
  • 2007Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation5,771 cited
  • 2008The trouble with overconfidence.2,347 cited
  • 1976Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions950 cited
  • 2011The Binarized Scoring Rule300 cited
  • 2013A Penny for Your Thoughts: A Survey of Methods for Eliciting Beliefs225 cited
  • 2009A Truth Serum for Non-Bayesians: Correcting Proper Scoring Rules for Risk Attitudes219 cited
  • 1997Precision and accuracy of judgmental estimation206 cited
  • 1999Money Does Not Induce Risk Neutral Behavior, but Binary Lotteries Do even Worse157 cited
  • 2005Confidence interval estimation tasks and the economics of overconfidence101 cited
  • 2007Coherence and Consistency of Investors' Probability Judgments83 cited
  • 2016Scoring rules for subjective probability distributions71 cited
  • 2012Inducing risk neutral preferences with binary lotteries: A reconsideration45 cited

Cited by

  • 2017Giving in the face of risk57 cited
  • 2018On the Comparison of Interval Forecasts53 cited

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2016
Justice Under Uncertainty
48 cited
  • 2021The influence of empirical and normative expectations on cooperation46 cited
  • 2020Playing a different game: Situation perception mediates framing effects on cooperative behaviour37 cited
  • 2020Overconfidence in Labor Markets25 cited
  • 2021Spillover Effects of Institutions on Cooperative Behavior, Preferences, and Beliefs22 cited
  • 2020Central tendency bias in belief elicitation20 cited
  • 2023Comparing input interfaces to elicit belief distributions13 cited
  • 2017Eliciting interval beliefs: An experimental study7 cited
  • 2021Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress1 cited