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A multilevel functional data method for forecasting population, with an application to the United Kingdom
16 references·6 citing·35 second hop
A multilevel functional data method for forecasting population, with an application to the United Kingdom (2016)A multilevel functional data method for f…Fertility postponement is largely due to rising educational enrolment (2012)Fertility postponement is lar…Combining expert forecasts: Can anything beat the simple average? (2012)Combining expert forecasts: C…Bayesian probabilistic population projections for all countries (2012)Bayesian probabilistic popula…Mortality density forecasts: An analysis of six stochastic mortality models (2011)Mortality density forecasts: …Automatic Time Series Forecasting: The forecast Package for R (2008)Automatic Time Series Forecas…Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules…Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: A functional data approach (2006)Robust forecasting of mortali…Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review (2006)Demographic forecasting: 1980…A cohort-based extension to the Lee–Carter model for mortality reduction factors (2006)A cohort-based extension to t…Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the lee-carter method (2005)Coherent mortality forecasts …Demography, Measuring and Modeling Population Processes (2002)Demography, Measuring and Mod…Applying Lee-Carter under conditions of variable mortality decline (2002)Applying Lee-Carter under con…The Lee-Carter Method for Forecasting Mortality, with Various Extensions and Applications (2000)The Lee-Carter Method for For…Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root (1992)Testing the null hypothesis o…Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality (1992)Modeling and Forecasting U. S…Introduction of Multiregional Mathematical Demography. (1976)Introduction of Multiregional…The Demographic Causes of European Sub-National Population Declines (2025)The Demographic Causes of Eur…Multi-population modelling and forecasting life-table death counts (2022)Multi-population modelling an…World Population Prospects – A Long View (2020)World Population Prospects – …Developments in Demographic Forecasting (2020)Developments in Demographic F…Modeling and forecasting sex differences in mortality: a sex-ratio approach (2018)Modeling and forecasting sex …Applying and testing a forecasting model for age and sex patterns of immigration and emigration (2018)Applying and testing a foreca…Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root (1979)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test (1999)Unit root tests for panel data (2001)Modelling Asymmetric Cointegration and Dynamic Multipliers in a Nonlinear ARDL Framework (2014)Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations (1983)Lee–Carter mortality forecasting with age-specific enhancement (2003)Pricing Death: Frameworks for the Valuation and Securitization of Mortality Risk (2006)American Economic Review (2019)Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness (2007)Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts (2011)Generación de series de tiempo financieras sintéticas para "data augmentation" usando redes neuronales generativas adversarias (GAN) (2021)The age pattern of mortality (1980)Applied Mathematical Demography (2005)Coherent Mortality Forecasting: The Product-Ratio Method With Functional Time Series Models (2012)Broken Limits to Life Expectancy (2002)The Outlook for Population Growth (2011)A Poisson log-bilinear regression approach to the construction of projected lifetables (2002)Mortality Modelling and Forecasting: a Review of Methods (2008)A Quantitative Comparison of Stochastic Mortality Models Using Data From England and Wales and the United States (2009)Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)Another look at measures of forecast accuracy (2006)Statistical and Machine Learning forecasting methods: Concerns and ways forward (2018)DeepAR: Probabilistic forecasting with autoregressive recurrent networks (2019)Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current status and future directions (2020)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods (2002)Projections of Global Mortality and Burden of Disease from 2002 to 2030 (2006)Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories (2018)The Gendered Nature of Natural Disasters: The Impact of Catastrophic Events on the Gender Gap in Life Expectancy, 1981–2002 (2007)Global, regional, and national age–sex specific all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 240 causes of death, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 (2014)Cause-specific mortality for 240 causes in China during 1990–2013: a systematic subnational analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 (2015)
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References

  • 1992Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root12,634 cited
  • 2007Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation5,771 cited
  • 2008Automatic Time Series Forecasting: The forecast Package for R3,538 cited
  • 1992Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality2,311 cited
  • 2002Demography, Measuring and Modeling Population Processes1,709 cited
  • 2006A cohort-based extension to the Lee–Carter model for mortality reduction factors734 cited
  • 2006Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: A functional data approach675 cited
  • 2005Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the lee-carter method623 cited
  • 2002Applying Lee-Carter under conditions of variable mortality decline455 cited
  • 2000The Lee-Carter Method for Forecasting Mortality, with Various Extensions and Applications411 cited
  • 1976Introduction of Multiregional Mathematical Demography.381 cited
  • 2006Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review343 cited
  • 2012Combining expert forecasts: Can anything beat the simple average?314 cited
  • 2012Fertility postponement is largely due to rising educational enrolment311 cited
  • 2012Bayesian probabilistic population projections for all countries

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298 cited
  • 2011Mortality density forecasts: An analysis of six stochastic mortality models292 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2020Developments in Demographic Forecasting34 cited
    • 2018Applying and testing a forecasting model for age and sex patterns of immigration and emigration26 cited
    • 2025The Demographic Causes of European Sub-National Population Declines25 cited
    • 2020World Population Prospects – A Long View19 cited
    • 2022Multi-population modelling and forecasting life-table death counts17 cited
    • 2018Modeling and forecasting sex differences in mortality: a sex-ratio approach17 cited