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An Experiment in Probability Estimation
2 references·13 citing·42 second hop
An Experiment in Probability Estimation (1965)An Experiment in Probability EstimationHuman Judgments and Optimality (1966)Human Judgments and OptimalityAn Experimental Study of the Auction-Value of an Uncertain Outcome (1948)An Experimental Study of the …Belief Updating Beyond the Two-State Setting (2023)Belief Updating Beyond the Tw…Over- and Underreaction to Information (2022)Over- and Underreaction to In…Expectation Formation Under Uninformative Signals (2020)Expectation Formation Under U…Can Agents Add and Subtract When Forming Beliefs? (2020)Can Agents Add and Subtract W…Choice with Limited Capacity (2019)Choice with Limited CapacityErrors in Probabilistic Reasoning and Judgment Biases (2018)Errors in Probabilistic Reaso…Essays in Search and Learning. (2012)Essays in Search and Learning.A Model of Non-Belief in the Law of Large Numbers Draft for distribution in February 2011 talks | Missing proofs (2011)A Model of Non-Belief in the …An Assessment of Probability Encoding Using a Probabilistic, Noninteractive Management Game (1978)An Assessment of Probability …Measurement of Consumers' Prior Brand Information (1972)Measurement of Consumers' Pri…Entscheidungsprozesse unter Verwendung des Theorems von Bayes (1970)Entscheidungsprozesse unter V…Failure of predictions from subjectively expected utility theory in a Bayesian decision task (1968)Failure of predictions from s…Choice Criteria, Decision Behavior, and Personality (1968)Choice Criteria, Decision Beh…Dynamic Decision Theory and Probabilistic Information Processings (1962)Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. (1966)Man as an intuitive statistician. (1967)Experiments on probabilistic information processing (1970)Judgmental forecasting with interactive forecasting support systems (1996)Judgment and Decision Making (2003)Applied Statistical Decision Theory (1962)Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Theory and Methods of Scaling. (1959)Consumer decision processes : marketing and advertising implications (1966)Effects of Consumer Information and Education on Cognition and Choice (1981)The impact of risk and competition on choice of innovations (1993)Forgiven But Not Forgotten: Covert Uncertainty in Overt Responses and the Paradox of Defection‐Despite‐Trust (2006)Rational Selection of Decision Functions (1954)Risk Taking: A Study in Cognition and Personality (1965)A Segmentation Research Design Using Consumer Panel Data (1972)Does Personality Influence Brand Image? (1994)A Comparison of Alternative Approaches to Cluster-Based Market Segmentation (1995)Games and Decisions (2015)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)The case for motivated reasoning. (1990)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Does the Stock Market Overreact? (1985)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Belief Updating and Investment Decisions: The Impact of Good or Bad News Varies With Prior Returns (2021)An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers (1968)How People Use Statistics (2023)Associative memory, beliefs and market interactions (2024)The Economics of Attention (2025)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Bad is Stronger than Good (2001)Outcome bias in self-evaluations: Quasi-experimental field evidence from Swiss driving license exams (2022)Outcome Bias in Self-evaluations: Quasi-experimental Field Evidence of Swiss Driving License Exams (2022)Expectational reference points and belief formation: Field evidence from financial analysts (2024)Conjoint-measurement analysis of composition rules in psychology. (1971)MARKETS AND FREEDOMS: ACHIEVEMENTS AND LIMITATIONS OF THE MARKET MECHANISM IN PROMOTING INDIVIDUAL FREEDOMS (1993)Measuring Constructed Preferences: Towards a Building Code (1999)The prediction of decisions among bets. (1955)The Health Belief Model: Origins and Correlates in Psychological Theory (1974)Separating marginal utility and probabilistic risk aversion (1994)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1948An Experimental Study of the Auction-Value of an Uncertain Outcome326 cited
  • 1966Human Judgments and Optimality123 cited

Cited by

  • 1968Choice Criteria, Decision Behavior, and Personality39 cited
  • 2022Over- and Underreaction to Information38 cited
  • 1972Measurement of Consumers' Prior Brand Information25 cited
  • 1968Failure of predictions from subjectively expected utility theory in a Bayesian decision task23 cited
  • 1970Entscheidungsprozesse unter Verwendung des Theorems von Bayes12 cited
  • 2020Expectation Formation Under Uninformative Signals11 cited
  • 2018Errors in Probabilistic Reasoning and Judgment Biases9 cited
  • 2020Can Agents Add and Subtract When Forming Beliefs?5 cited
  • 2023Belief Updating Beyond the Two-State Setting3 cited
  • 2019Choice with Limited Capacity1 cited
  • 2012Essays in Search and Learning.0 cited
  • 1978An Assessment of Probability Encoding Using a Probabilistic, Noninteractive Management Game0 cited
  • 2011A Model of Non-Belief in the Law of Large Numbers Draft for distribution in February 2011 talks | Missing proofs0 cited

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