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Matrix purpose in scenario planning: Implications of congruence with scenario project purpose
16 references·2 citing·36 second hop
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(1943)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The limits of forecasting methods in anticipating rare events (2009)Expert biases in technology foresight. 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(1956)Competitive Advantage: Creating and Sustaining Superior Performance (1985)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)Strategic foresight in corporate organizations: Handling the effect and response uncertainty of technology and social drivers of change (2010)Strategic agility through improvisational capabilities: Implications for a paradox-sensitive HRM (2019)Competitive advantage: creating and sustaining superior performance (1998)Scenario Planning: Managing for the Future (1998)Extending the use of scenario planning and MCDA for the evaluation of strategic options (2010)Prepositioning of supplies in preparation for a hurricane under potential destruction of prepositioned supplies (2012)Between stranded assets and green transformation: Fossil-fuel-producing developing countries towards 2055 (2020)The five dimensions of Futures Consciousness (2018)Coping with Uncertainty: A Naturalistic Decision-Making Analysis (1997)Strategic planning in a turbulent environment: evidence from the oil majors (2003)
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References

  • 1995Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking1,553 cited
  • 2005The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning1,202 cited
  • 2000The Art of Scenarios and Strategic Planning552 cited
  • 1996Creating the future: The use and misuse of scenarios424 cited
  • 2009Directions in scenario planning literature – A review of the past decades386 cited
  • 2005Advantages and disadvantages of scenario approaches for strategic foresight368 cited
  • 2002Confronting Strategic Inertia in a Top Management Team: Learning from Failure290 cited
  • 2004How to improve scenario analysis as a strategic management tool?269 cited
  • 2005How to improve scenario analysis as a strategic management tool?268 cited
  • 2009Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: Enhancing the scenario method247 cited
  • 2011Environmental uncertainty, foresight and strategic decision making: An integrated study239 cited
  • 2012Does the intuitive logics method – and its recent enhancements – produce “effective” scenarios?207 cited
  • 2005Three Decades of Scenario Planning in Shell180 cited
  • 2013Transformative Scenario Planning: Working Together to Change the Future146 cited
  • 2012

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How plausibility-based scenario practices are grappling with complexity to appreciate and address 21st century challenges
123 cited
  • 2002Creating Better Futures116 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2020Toward a Diagnostic Tool for Organizational Ethical Culture With Futures Thinking and Scenario Planning4 cited
    • 2024Enhancing community engagement in scenario-based urban planning and policy development using experiential futures2 cited