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Rewarding Expertise in Probability Assessment
8 references·2 citing·40 second hop
Rewarding Expertise in Probability Assessment (1977)Rewarding Expertise in Probability Assess…Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions (1976)Scoring Rules for Continuous …Decision Analysis Expert Use (1974)Decision Analysis Expert UseA New Vector Partition of the Probability Score (1973)A New Vector Partition of the…Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Elicitation of Personal Proba…Scoring rules in probability assessment and evaluation (1970)Scoring rules in probability …Assessment and evaluation of subjective probability distributions (1970)Assessment and evaluation of …The Quantification of Judgment: Some Methodological Suggestions (1967)The Quantification of Judgmen…La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives (1937)La prévision : ses lois logiq…Evaluating Probabilities: Asymmetric Scoring Rules (1994)Evaluating Probabilities: Asy…Optimal Linear Opinion Pools (1991)Optimal Linear Opinion PoolsCognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions (1975)Comparing Density Forecasts Using Threshold- and Quantile-Weighted Scoring Rules (2010)Forecast Verification (2011)Probabilistic Forecasting (2014)Le Comportement de l'Homme Rationnel devant le Risque: Critique des Postulats et Axiomes de l'Ecole Americaine (1953)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1964)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1976)The Theory of Incentives: The Principal-Agent Model (2001)Measuring Expectations (2004)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Information Value Theory (1966)Subjective confidence in forecasts (1982)Risks and decisions for conservation and environmental management (2005)Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review (2022)The Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters (1983)Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs. (1994)Evaluating Quantile Assessments (2009)Forecast Verification (2019)A survey of human judgement and quantitative forecasting methods (2021)Decision and value theory (1964)“Good” Probability Assessors (1968)Probabilistic Prediction: Some Experimental Results (1971)Conditional distribution analyses of probabilistic forecasts (1985)Some Comparisons among Quadratic, Spherical, and Logarithmic Scoring Rules (2007)Agreeing to Disagree (1976)Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography (1986)Rational Decisions (1952)Elementary Decision Theory. (1959)Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. (1966)The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions (1968)Feature Article—Decision Analysis: An Overview (1982)Comparing Density Forecasts via Weighted Likelihood Ratio Tests (2007)A note on aggregating opinions (1978)Systematic Risk Management Approach for Construction Projects (1990)The concept of knowledge and how to measure it (2003)Learning to Be Overconfident (2001)The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis (2004)Sensitivity analysis: A review of recent advances (2015)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1937La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives1,649 cited
  • 1971Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations1,228 cited
  • 1973A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score1,120 cited
  • 1976Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions950 cited
  • 1974Decision Analysis Expert Use288 cited
  • 1967The Quantification of Judgment: Some Methodological Suggestions202 cited
  • 1970Scoring rules in probability assessment and evaluation154 cited
  • 1970Assessment and evaluation of subjective probability distributions109 cited

Cited by

  • 1994Evaluating Probabilities: Asymmetric Scoring Rules94 cited
  • 1991Optimal Linear Opinion Pools54 cited

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