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Superforecasting reality check: Evidence from a small pool of experts and expedited identification
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Superforecasting reality check: Evidence from a small pool of experts and expedited identification (2020)Superforecasting reality check: Evidence …Superforecasting: the art and science of prediction (2016)Superforecasting: the art and…Thinking, Fast and Slow (2011)Thinking, Fast and SlowInfluencing behaviour: The mindspace way (2011)Influencing behaviour: The mi…Darwin's mistake: Explaining the discontinuity between human and nonhuman minds (2008)Darwin's mistake: Explaining …Expert political judgment: how good is it? how can we know? (2006)Expert political judgment: ho…Cognitive Reflection and Decision Making (2005)Cognitive Reflection and Deci…Language in Mind: Advances in the Study of Language and Thought (2003)Language in Mind: Advances in…Principles of Forecasting (2001)Principles of ForecastingForecasting methods and applications (1993)Forecasting methods and appli…Costs and benefits of judgment errors: Implications for debiasing. (1991)Costs and benefits of judgmen…Structure-mapping: A theoretical framework for analogy (1983)Structure-mapping: A theoreti…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…A Random Walk Down Wall Street (1973)A Random Walk Down Wall StreetThe Efficiency Analysis of Choices Involving Risk (1969)The Efficiency Analysis of Ch…Rules for Ordering Uncertain Prospects (1969)Rules for Ordering Uncertain …On the measurement of inequality (1970)On Economic Inequality (1973)A theory of anticipated utility (1982)Theory of games and economic behavior (2019)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Features of similarity. (1977)SCRIPTS, PLANS, GOALS, AND UNDERSTANDING (1988)Design Experiments: Theoretical and Methodological Challenges in Creating Complex Interventions in Classroom Settings (1992)Metaphor: A Practical Introduction (2002)Metaphors We Live By (2003)Language, Usage and Cognition (2010)The Utility Analysis of Choices Involving Risk (1948)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)Optimal rules for ordering uncertain prospects (1975)Stochastic Dominance and Expected Utility: Survey and Analysis (1992)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)The trouble with overconfidence. (2008)Conditions for intuitive expertise: A failure to disagree. (2009)Why do humans reason? Arguments for an argumentative theory (2011)Construct validity in psychological tests. (1955)Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function (1957)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. (1978)Consensus measurement in Delphi studies (2012)Forecasting: theory and practice (2022)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Investor Sentiment and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns (2006)Integración de los mercados financieros Latinoamericanos por medio de MILA (2020)Another look at measures of forecast accuracy (2006)Automatic Time Series Forecasting: The forecast Package for R (2008)To Explain or to Predict? (2010)Dual-Process Theories of Higher Cognition (2013)Managerial cognitive capabilities and the microfoundations of dynamic capabilities (2014)The preregistration revolution (2018)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Two new Later Stone Age sites from the Final Pleistocene in the Falémé Valley, eastern Senegal (2024)
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References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 2011Thinking, Fast and Slow14,316 cited
  • 1983Structure-mapping: A theoretical framework for analogy5,684 cited
  • 2005Cognitive Reflection and Decision Making5,253 cited
  • 1993Forecasting methods and applications2,400 cited
  • 2001Principles of Forecasting1,930 cited
  • 1969Rules for Ordering Uncertain Prospects1,757 cited
  • 1973A Random Walk Down Wall Street1,751 cited
  • 1969The Efficiency Analysis of Choices Involving Risk1,416 cited
  • 2006Expert political judgment: how good is it? how can we know?1,260 cited
  • 2008Darwin's mistake: Explaining the discontinuity between human and nonhuman minds1,174 cited
  • 2016Superforecasting: the art and science of prediction927 cited
  • 2011Influencing behaviour: The mindspace way850 cited
  • 2003Language in Mind: Advances in the Study of Language and Thought844 cited
  • 1991Costs and benefits of judgment errors: Implications for debiasing.764 cited

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