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Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement
16 references·16 citing·54 second hopsampled
Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement (2002)Forecasting decisions in conflict situati…Experimental games: A review (2007)Experimental games: A reviewPrinciples of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners (2002)Principles of Forecasting: A …Overconfidence in Judgmental Forecasting (2001)Overconfidence in Judgmental …Empathy‐induced altruism in a prisoner's dilemma II: what if the target of empathy has defected? (2001)Empathy‐induced altruism in a…Game theory evolving : a problem-centered introduction to modeling strategic behavior (2000)Game theory evolving : a prob…A comparison of naïve and sophisticated subject behavior with game theoretic predictions (2000)A comparison of naïve and sop…Strategic behavior of experienced subjects in a common pool resource game (1999)Strategic behavior of experie…Expectations and fairness in a modified Ultimatum game (1996)Expectations and fairness in …Strategic Decision Making (1995)Strategic Decision MakingBiased Judgments of Fairness in Bargaining (1995)Biased Judgments of Fairness …Drama theory and its relation to game theory. Part 1: Dramatic resolution vs. Rational solution (1994)Drama theory and its relation…Cooperation in an asymmetric Volunteer's dilemma game theory and experimental evidence (1993)Cooperation in an asymmetric …BLIND SPOTS IN INDUSTRY AND COMPETITOR ANALYSIS: IMPLICATIONS OF INTERFIRM (MIS)PERCEPTIONS FOR STRATEGIC DECISIONS (1991)BLIND SPOTS IN INDUSTRY AND C…Judgment in Managerial Decision Making (1986)Judgment in Managerial Decisi…Cooperation in an asymmetric volunteer’s dilemma game Theory and experimental evidence (1984)Cooperation in an asymmetric …Social irresponsibility in management (1977)Social irresponsibility in ma…A framework to design game theory-based interventions for strategic analysis of real-world problems with stakeholders (2023)A framework to design game th…Demand forecasting: evidence-based methods (2017)Demand forecasting: evidence-…Forecasting supply chain sporadic demand with nearest neighbor approaches (2016)Forecasting supply chain spor…Participatory Approaches (2013)Participatory ApproachesGroup-based judgmental forecasting: An integration of extant knowledge and the development of priorities for a new research agenda (2010)Group-based judgmental foreca…Knowledge sharing: game and reasoned action perspectives (2009)Knowledge sharing: game and r…Business wargaming: developing foresight within a strategic simulation (2009)Business wargaming: developin…The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts (2007)The Ombudsman: Value of Exper…Building Skills in Thinking: Toward a Pedagogy in Metathinking (2007)Building Skills in Thinking: …Some game theory and financial contracting issues in corporate transactions (2006)Some game theory and financia…Forecasting with cue information: A comparison of multiple regression with alternative forecasting approaches (2006)Forecasting with cue informat…Employee-stock-options, production/service functions and game theory (2006)Employee-stock-options, produ…Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence (2005)Game theory, simulated intera…Experimental economics and the artificiality of alteration (2005)Experimental economics and th…Theorem on Conflict for a Pair of Stochastic Vectors (2003)Theorem on Conflict for a Pai…Predictive value and the usefulness of game theoretic models (2002)Predictive value and the usef…The Principles of Psychology (1891)The Market for "Lemons": Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism (1970)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Ethical Decision Making by Individuals in Organizations: An Issue-Contingent Model (1991)Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making (1997)Conditions for intuitive expertise: A failure to disagree. 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References

  • 1986Judgment in Managerial Decision Making2,254 cited
  • 2000Game theory evolving : a problem-centered introduction to modeling strategic behavior658 cited
  • 1995Biased Judgments of Fairness in Bargaining560 cited
  • 1991BLIND SPOTS IN INDUSTRY AND COMPETITOR ANALYSIS: IMPLICATIONS OF INTERFIRM (MIS)PERCEPTIONS FOR STRATEGIC DECISIONS491 cited
  • 1995Strategic Decision Making425 cited
  • 1977Social irresponsibility in management252 cited
  • 2001Empathy‐induced altruism in a prisoner's dilemma II: what if the target of empathy has defected?242 cited
  • 2007Experimental games: A review170 cited
  • 2001Overconfidence in Judgmental Forecasting168 cited
  • 1996Expectations and fairness in a modified Ultimatum game157 cited
  • 2002Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners145 cited
  • 2000A comparison of naïve and sophisticated subject behavior with game theoretic predictions124 cited
  • 1994Drama theory and its relation to game theory. Part 1: Dramatic resolution vs. Rational solution121 cited
  • 1993Cooperation in an asymmetric Volunteer's dilemma game theory and experimental evidence117 cited
  • 1984Cooperation in an asymmetric volunteer’s dilemma game Theory and experimental evidence

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100 cited
  • 1999Strategic behavior of experienced subjects in a common pool resource game80 cited
  • Cited by

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    • 2013Participatory Approaches64 cited
    • 2007The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts62 cited
    • 2009Business wargaming: developing foresight within a strategic simulation58 cited
    • 2010Group-based judgmental forecasting: An integration of extant knowledge and the development of priorities for a new research agenda48 cited
    • 2005Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence42 cited
    • 2017Demand forecasting: evidence-based methods40 cited
    • 2003Theorem on Conflict for a Pair of Stochastic Vectors39 cited
    • 2023A framework to design game theory-based interventions for strategic analysis of real-world problems with stakeholders38 cited
    • 2009Knowledge sharing: game and reasoned action perspectives33 cited
    • 2006Some game theory and financial contracting issues in corporate transactions25 cited
    • 2006Employee-stock-options, production/service functions and game theory18 cited
    • 2007Building Skills in Thinking: Toward a Pedagogy in Metathinking14 cited