A longitudinal analysis of the dependence of the commute mode switching decision on mobility decisions and life cycle events

Abu Toasin Oakil · Dick Ettema · Theo Arentze · Harry J.P. Timmermans

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Transportation Planning and Optimization Urban Transport and Accessibility Transportation and Mobility Innovations

Abstract

This paper aims at increasing the understanding of the dynamics in mode choice decisions, by studying changes in commute mode in relation to decisions regarding changes in residential location, work status and location, vehicle ownership as well as changes in household composition and critical events, such as children reaching school going age, marriage or divorce. To study the path dependence of commute mode on preceding decisions and events, we will use a unique data set containing detailed retrospective and prospective data collected over individuals’ 20 year lifespan in the Utrecht region in 2010. A panel model is used to investigate how change in commute mode in a given year is related to mobility and life cycle events in previous years or to anticipated events in future years.

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References

1994Impacts of Mixed Use and Density on Utilization of Three Modes of Travel: Single-Occupant Vehicle, Transit, and Walking 1970The Intra-Urban Migration Process: A Perspective 2007Role of the built environment on mode choice decisions: additional evidence on the impact of density 2005ILUTE: An Operational Prototype of a Comprehensive Microsimulation Model of Urban Systems 2003Does commuting distance matter?2007Volatility of car ownership, commuting mode and time in the UK 1987Accessibility and Intraurban Travel 2006Estimating commuter mode choice: A discrete choice analysis of the impact of road pricing and parking charges

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