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People focus on optimistic scenarios and disregard pessimistic scenarios while predicting task completion times.

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References

1994Exploring the "planning fallacy": Why people underestimate their task completion times.1,107 cited
1985Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead1,016 cited
1993Multiple scenario development: Its conceptual and behavioral foundation913 cited
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1978The effect of imagining an event on expectations for the event: An interpretation in terms of the availability heuristic482 cited
1998Situated Optimism: Specific Outcome Expectancies and Self-Regulation452 cited
1985Counterfactual reasoning and accuracy in predicting personal events.430 cited
1990The role of construal processes in overconfident predictions about the self and others.257 cited
1997The Role of Motivated Reasoning in Optimistic Time Predictions251 cited
2013Psychological methods.172 cited

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