Dynamic Coherence and Probability Kinematics

Brian Skyrms

154 citations0/0 files storedPhilosophy of Science

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Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics Logic, Reasoning, and Knowledge Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference

Abstract

The question of coherence of rules for changing degrees of belief in the light of new evidence is studied, with special attention being given to cases in which evidence is uncertain. Belief change by the rule of conditionalization on an appropriate proposition and belief change by “probability kinematics“ on an appropriate partition are shown to have like status.

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1937La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives 1984Belief and the Will 1973Conditionalization and observation 1967Slightly More Realistic Personal Probability

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2016Dutch Book Arguments 1998Conditionalizing on Knowledge 2002Induction and Probability 1993Discussion: A Mistake in Dynamic Coherence Arguments?1987The Demons of Decision 1987Self-doubts and dutch strategies 2009CHAPTER 7 Dutch Book Arguments 2005Radical Probabilism and Bayesian Conditioning*

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