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Calibration and information in expert resolution; a classical approach
14 references·16 citing·38 second hop
Calibration and information in expert resolution; a classical approach (1988)Calibration and information in expert res…The Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters (1983)The Comparison and Evaluation…Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…A progress report on the training of probability assessors (1982)A progress report on the trai…ASSESSING THE EXTREMES OF PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS BY THE FRACTILE METHOD* (1980)ASSESSING THE EXTREMES OF PRO…Do those who know more also know more about how much they know? (1977)Do those who know more also k…Combining Expert Judgments: A Bayesian Approach (1977)Combining Expert Judgments: A…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Effects of decision importance on ability to generate warranted subjective uncertainty. (1974)Effects of decision importanc…Decision Analysis Expert Use (1974)Decision Analysis Expert UseA STUDY OF THE PERFORMANCE OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY ASSESSORS (1974)A STUDY OF THE PERFORMANCE OF…A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score (1973)A New Vector Partition of the…Scoring Rules and the Evaluation of Probability Assessors (1969)Scoring Rules and the Evaluat…Realism of confidence judgments. (1961)Realism of confidence judgmen…Aggregating predictions from experts: A review of statistical methods, experiments, and applications (2020)Aggregating predictions from …Improving expert forecasts in reliability: Application and evidence for structured elicitation protocols (2019)Improving expert forecasts in…Early lung cancer screening using double normalization-based multi-aggregation (DNMA) and Delphi methods with hesitant fuzzy information (2019)Early lung cancer screening u…Structured elicitation of expert judgement for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment in volcanic eruptions (2018)Structured elicitation of exp…Expert Elicitation: Using the Classical Model to Validate Experts’ Judgments (2017)Expert Elicitation: Using the…Cross validation for the classical model of structured expert judgment (2017)Cross validation for the clas…On a Simple and Efficient Approach to Probability Distribution Function Aggregation (2016)On a Simple and Efficient App…The Aggregation of Expert Judgment: Do Good Things Come to Those Who Weight? (2015)The Aggregation of Expert Jud…Quantifying scientific uncertainty from expert judgement elicitation (2013)Quantifying scientific uncert…Expert judgement elicitation for risk assessments of critical infrastructures (2004)Expert judgement elicitation …Use of expert judgment in exposure assessment: Part 2. Calibration of expert judgments about personal exposures to benzene (2003)Use of expert judgment in exp…Expert Judgment and Risk Perception (2001)Expert Judgment and Risk Perc…The strengths and limitations of PSA: where we stand (1992)The strengths and limitations…On the relevance of non-standard theories of uncertainty in modeling and pooling expert opinions (1992)On the relevance of non-stand…Filtering information from human experts (1989)Filtering information from hu…Uncertainty in risk assessment: A probabilist's manifesto (1988)Uncertainty in risk assessmen…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. 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this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1973A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score1,120 cited
  • 1977Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?1,081 cited
  • 1982A progress report on the training of probability assessors859 cited
  • 1983The Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters603 cited
  • 1977Combining Expert Judgments: A Bayesian Approach350 cited
  • 1974Decision Analysis Expert Use288 cited
  • 1969Scoring Rules and the Evaluation of Probability Assessors270 cited
  • 1961Realism of confidence judgments.129 cited
  • 1974Effects of decision importance on ability to generate warranted subjective uncertainty.55 cited
  • 1980ASSESSING THE EXTREMES OF PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS BY THE FRACTILE METHOD*52 cited
  • 1974A STUDY OF THE PERFORMANCE OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY ASSESSORS49 cited

Cited by

  • 2004Expert judgement elicitation for risk assessments of critical infrastructures176 cited

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

  • 2017Expert Elicitation: Using the Classical Model to Validate Experts’ Judgments164 cited
  • 2018Structured elicitation of expert judgement for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment in volcanic eruptions133 cited
  • 2013Quantifying scientific uncertainty from expert judgement elicitation130 cited
  • 2017Cross validation for the classical model of structured expert judgment124 cited
  • 2016On a Simple and Efficient Approach to Probability Distribution Function Aggregation99 cited
  • 2001Expert Judgment and Risk Perception83 cited
  • 2020Aggregating predictions from experts: A review of statistical methods, experiments, and applications51 cited
  • 1992On the relevance of non-standard theories of uncertainty in modeling and pooling expert opinions49 cited
  • 1989Filtering information from human experts47 cited
  • 2003Use of expert judgment in exposure assessment: Part 2. Calibration of expert judgments about personal exposures to benzene44 cited
  • 1992The strengths and limitations of PSA: where we stand43 cited
  • 2019Early lung cancer screening using double normalization-based multi-aggregation (DNMA) and Delphi methods with hesitant fuzzy information43 cited
  • 2015The Aggregation of Expert Judgment: Do Good Things Come to Those Who Weight?39 cited
  • 2019Improving expert forecasts in reliability: Application and evidence for structured elicitation protocols38 cited
  • 1988Uncertainty in risk assessment: A probabilist's manifesto23 cited