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Ambiguous probabilities: when doesp=0.3 reflect a possibility, and when does it express a doubt?
16 references·16 citing·45 second hopsampled
Ambiguous probabilities: when doesp=0.3 reflect a possibility, and when does it express a doubt? (2000)Ambiguous probabilities: when doesp=0.3 r…All Frames Are Not Created Equal: A Typology and Critical Analysis of Framing Effects (1998)All Frames Are Not Created Eq…Calibration and probability judgements: Conceptual and methodological issues (1991)Calibration and probability j…Verbal versus numerical probabilities: Efficiency, biases, and the preference paradox (1990)Verbal versus numerical proba…Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known. (1990)Hindsight: Biased judgments o…Contextual effects in the interpretations of probability words: Perceived base rate and severity of events. (1990)Contextual effects in the int…Verbal probabilities: Ambiguous, context-dependent, or both? (1988)Verbal probabilities: Ambiguo…Organizational behavior and human decision processes (1988)Organizational behavior and h…Decisions based on numerically and verbally expressed uncertainties. (1988)Decisions based on numericall…Measuring the vague meanings of probability terms. (1986)Measuring the vague meanings …Knowledge-based causal attribution: The abnormal conditions focus model. (1986)Knowledge-based causal attrib…Decision making under uncertainty (1984)Decision making under uncerta…Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Extensional versus intuitive …How probable is probable? A numerical translation of verbal probability expressions (1982)How probable is probable? A n…Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty (1982)Causal schemas in judgments u…The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)The Framing of Decisions and …Empirical scaling of common verbal phrases associated with numerical probabilities (1967)Empirical scaling of common v…Combining verbal forecasts: The role of directionality and the reinforcement effect (2022)Combining verbal forecasts: T…The Oxford Handbook of Experimental Semantics and Pragmatics (2019)The Oxford Handbook of Experi…Quantification (2019)QuantificationDo people really prefer verbal probabilities? (2019)Do people really prefer verba…Cultivating credibility with probability words and numbers (2019)Cultivating credibility with …Constraint-Based Pragmatic Processing (2019)Constraint-Based Pragmatic Pr…More than 50% or Less than 70% Chance: Pragmatic Implications of Single‐Bound Probability Estimates (2017)More than 50% or Less than 70…Perception problems of the verbal scale: A reanalysis and application of a membership function approach (2015)Perception problems of the ve…Naive Probability: Model‐Based Estimates of Unique Events (2014)Naive Probability: Model‐Base…To what extent do politeness expectations shape risk perception? Even numerical probabilities are under their spell! (2012)To what extent do politeness …Documentation Requirements and Quantified versus Qualitative Audit Risk Assessments (2011)Documentation Requirements an…A Unified Account of Quantifer Perspective Effects in Discourse (2007)A Unified Account of Quantife…Effects of what is expected on the focussing properties of quantifiers: A test of the presupposition-denial account (2006)Effects of what is expected o…Predicting the directionality of probability words from their membership functions (2003)Predicting the directionality…Evaluation of a verbal–numerical probability scale (2003)Evaluation of a verbal–numeri…Context and the interpretation of likelihood information: The role of intergroup comparisons on perceived vulnerability. (2002)Context and the interpretatio…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1983)How we know--and sometimes misjudge--what others know: Imputing one's own knowledge to others. (1999)Self-Efficacy, Motivation Constructs, and Mathematics Performance of Entering Middle School Students (1999)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)Risk Perception and Communication (1993)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Human Problem Solving (1972)HARKing: Hypothesizing After the Results are Known (1998)Why Measure Performance? Different Purposes Require Different Measures (2003)Theory and Methods of Scaling (1958)A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures (1977)The Analytic Hierarchy Process (1985)Numeric, Verbal, and Visual Formats of Conveying Health Risks: Suggested Best Practices and Future Recommendations (2007)A practical guide to structured expert elicitation using the IDEA protocol (2017)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)The Implications of Framing Effects for Citizen Competence (2001)The Economic Psychology of Tax Behaviour (2007)The Handbook of Journalism Studies (2009)The Psychology of Interpersonal Relations. (1958)Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment. (1983)Mental Models (1983)CURRENT RESEARCH IN SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY (1996)How People Explain Behavior: A New Theoretical Framework (1999)Rumor psychology: Social and organizational approaches. 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References

  • 1981The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice17,834 cited
  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.3,990 cited
  • 1998All Frames Are Not Created Equal: A Typology and Critical Analysis of Framing Effects2,592 cited
  • 1988Organizational behavior and human decision processes1,753 cited
  • 1990Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known.854 cited
  • 1982Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty613 cited
  • 1991Calibration and probability judgements: Conceptual and methodological issues550 cited
  • 1982How probable is probable? A numerical translation of verbal probability expressions527 cited
  • 1986Measuring the vague meanings of probability terms.522 cited
  • 1986Knowledge-based causal attribution: The abnormal conditions focus model.502 cited
  • 1988Verbal probabilities: Ambiguous, context-dependent, or both?334 cited
  • 1967Empirical scaling of common verbal phrases associated with numerical probabilities316 cited
  • 1984Decision making under uncertainty296 cited
  • 1988Decisions based on numerically and verbally expressed uncertainties.252 cited
  • 1990Verbal versus numerical probabilities: Efficiency, biases, and the preference paradox

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250 cited
  • 1990Contextual effects in the interpretations of probability words: Perceived base rate and severity of events.229 cited
  • Cited by

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    • 2002Context and the interpretation of likelihood information: The role of intergroup comparisons on perceived vulnerability.63 cited
    • 2012To what extent do politeness expectations shape risk perception? Even numerical probabilities are under their spell!61 cited
    • 2014Naive Probability: Model‐Based Estimates of Unique Events47 cited
    • 2011Documentation Requirements and Quantified versus Qualitative Audit Risk Assessments47 cited
    • 2019Quantification46 cited
    • 2006Effects of what is expected on the focussing properties of quantifiers: A test of the presupposition-denial account42 cited
    • 2015Perception problems of the verbal scale: A reanalysis and application of a membership function approach39 cited
    • 2019Cultivating credibility with probability words and numbers38 cited
    • 2007A Unified Account of Quantifer Perspective Effects in Discourse33 cited
    • 2019Constraint-Based Pragmatic Processing31 cited
    • 2017More than 50% or Less than 70% Chance: Pragmatic Implications of Single‐Bound Probability Estimates29 cited
    • 2019Do people really prefer verbal probabilities?28 cited
    • 2022Combining verbal forecasts: The role of directionality and the reinforcement effect24 cited