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ArticleTwo methods of reducing overconfidence

Hal R. Arkes1987

Article1987

Two methods of reducing overconfidence

Hal R. Arkes · Caryn Christensen · Catherine Blumer

278 citations·0/0 files stored·Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics Memory Processes and Influences

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References

1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1977Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes.1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 1977Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?1977On the psychology of experimental surprises.1980Training for calibration 1986Factors influencing the use of a decision rule in a probabilistic task

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1993Betting on trends: Intuitive forecasts of financial risk and return 2017Attention by design: Using attention checks to detect inattentive respondents and improve data quality 2003VCs' decision processes 2003Intuitive evaluation of likelihood judgment producers: evidence for a confidence heuristic 2016Financial literacy, confidence and financial advice seeking 1992Effects of justification and a mechanical aid on judgment performance

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Year1987

Typearticle

Published1987-02-01

VenueOrganizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

ISSN-L0749-5978

Languageen

Citations278

Files0 public / 0

ShelfDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

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doi10.1016/0749-5978(87)90049-5

openalex_workW1995982471

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2008Explaining calibration accuracy in classroom contexts: the effects of incentives, reflection, and explanatory style

1991Overconfidence in estimation: Testing the anchoring-and-adjustment hypothesis