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Two methods of reducing overconfidence
8 references·16 citing·43 second hop
Two methods of reducing overconfidence (1987)Two methods of reducing overconfidenceFactors influencing the use of a decision rule in a probabilistic task (1986)Factors influencing the use o…Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…Training for calibration (1980)Training for calibrationTelling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Telling more than we can know…On the psychology of experimental surprises. (1977)On the psychology of experime…Do those who know more also know more about how much they know? (1977)Do those who know more also k…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Attention by design: Using attention checks to detect inattentive respondents and improve data quality (2017)Attention by design: Using at…Financial literacy, confidence and financial advice seeking (2016)Financial literacy, confidenc…Financial capability: a behavioural economics perspective (2008)Financial capability: a behav…Explaining calibration accuracy in classroom contexts: the effects of incentives, reflection, and explanatory style (2008)Explaining calibration accura…VCs' decision processes (2003)VCs' decision processesIntuitive evaluation of likelihood judgment producers: evidence for a confidence heuristic (2003)Intuitive evaluation of likel…Overconfidence in Judgmental Forecasting (2001)Overconfidence in Judgmental …Taking into account the strength of an alternative hypothesis. (1998)Taking into account the stren…The Social Influence of Confidence in Group Decision Making (1997)The Social Influence of Confi…Self-confidence and performance on tests of cognitive abilities (1997)Self-confidence and performan…Overconfidence: Feedback and item difficulty effects (1997)Overconfidence: Feedback and …Beliefs about Overconfidence, Including Its Cross-National Variation (1996)Beliefs about Overconfidence,…Seven components of judgmental forecasting skill: Implications for research and the improvement of forecasts (1994)Seven components of judgmenta…Betting on trends: Intuitive forecasts of financial risk and return (1993)Betting on trends: Intuitive …Effects of justification and a mechanical aid on judgment performance (1992)Effects of justification and …Overconfidence in estimation: Testing the anchoring-and-adjustment hypothesis (1991)Overconfidence in estimation:…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. 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this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1977Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes.11,315 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1977Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?1,081 cited
  • 1977On the psychology of experimental surprises.488 cited
  • 1980Training for calibration382 cited
  • 1986Factors influencing the use of a decision rule in a probabilistic task333 cited

Cited by

  • 1993Betting on trends: Intuitive forecasts of financial risk and return586 cited
  • 2017Attention by design: Using attention checks to detect inattentive respondents and improve data quality521 cited
  • 2003VCs' decision processes291 cited
  • 2003Intuitive evaluation of likelihood judgment producers: evidence for a confidence heuristic272 cited
  • 2016Financial literacy, confidence and financial advice seeking246 cited
  • 1992Effects of justification and a mechanical aid on judgment performance237 cited
  • 2008Explaining calibration accuracy in classroom contexts: the effects of incentives, reflection, and explanatory style

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213 cited
  • 1991Overconfidence in estimation: Testing the anchoring-and-adjustment hypothesis209 cited
  • 1996Beliefs about Overconfidence, Including Its Cross-National Variation202 cited
  • 1997Self-confidence and performance on tests of cognitive abilities177 cited
  • 2001Overconfidence in Judgmental Forecasting168 cited
  • 1997The Social Influence of Confidence in Group Decision Making168 cited
  • 1997Overconfidence: Feedback and item difficulty effects160 cited
  • 2008Financial capability: a behavioural economics perspective155 cited
  • 1998Taking into account the strength of an alternative hypothesis.146 cited
  • 1994Seven components of judgmental forecasting skill: Implications for research and the improvement of forecasts144 cited