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Copula Models for Aggregating Expert Opinions
11 references·16 citing·43 second hop
Copula Models for Aggregating Expert Opinions (1996)Copula Models for Aggregating Expert Opin…Making Hard Decisions, an Introduction to Decision Analysis (1992)Making Hard Decisions, an Int…Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science (1992)Experts in uncertainty: opini…Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)Combining forecasts: A review…Copules archimédiennes et families de lois bidimensionnelles dont les marges sont données (1986)Copules archimédiennes et fam…Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography (1986)Combining Probability Distrib…Combining Economic Forecasts (1986)Combining Economic ForecastsLimits for the Precision and Value of Information from Dependent Sources (1985)Limits for the Precision and …Combining Expert Judgments: A Bayesian Approach (1977)Combining Expert Judgments: A…Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis (1975)Exceptional Paper—Probability…Decision Analysis Expert Use (1974)Decision Analysis Expert UseA NEW MEASURE OF RANK CORRELATION (1938)A NEW MEASURE OF RANK CORRELA…A survey of human judgement and quantitative forecasting methods (2021)A survey of human judgement a…Classical meets modern in the IDEA protocol for structured expert judgement (2016)Classical meets modern in the…Semiparametric estimation in models of first-price, sealed-bid auctions with affiliation (2011)Semiparametric estimation in …ESTIMATORS BASED ON KENDALL'S TAU IN MULTIVARIATE COPULA MODELS (2011)ESTIMATORS BASED ON KENDALL'S…Dynamic risk analysis using alarm databases to improve process safety and product quality: Part II—Bayesian analysis (2011)Dynamic risk analysis using a…Aggregating expert judgement (2011)Aggregating expert judgementSupplier default dependencies: Empirical evidence from the automotive industry (2008)Supplier default dependencies…On the performance of social network and likelihood-based expert weighting schemes (2007)On the performance of social …Aggregating Probability Distributions (2007)Aggregating Probability Distr…Does high forecast uncertainty preclude effective decision support? (2005)Does high forecast uncertaint…A Literature Review on the Use of Expert Opinion in Probabilistic Risk Analysis (2004)A Literature Review on the Us…The Use of Archimedean Copulas to Model Portfolio Allocations (2002)The Use of Archimedean Copula…The Expected Value of Information and the Probability of Surprise (1999)The Expected Value of Informa…On Modeling Correlated Random Variables in Risk Assessment (1999)On Modeling Correlated Random…Model uncertainty: theory and practical implications (1996)Model uncertainty: theory and…Coherent combination of experts' opinions (1995)Coherent combination of exper…Applied Statistical Decision Theory (1962)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)Experience with Forecasting Univariate Time Series and the Combination of Forecasts (1974)The Importance of the Task in Analyzing Expert Judgment (1997)The Nature of Accounting Information Reliability: Inferences from Archival and Experimental Research (2006)Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review (2022)The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions (1968)Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction (1983)Some Contributions of Integrated Assessment Models of Global Climate Change (2017)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)Uncertainties in risk analysis: Six levels of treatment (1996)Ordinal Measures of Association (1958)The Performance of Some Correlation Coefficients for a General Bivariate Distribution (1960)On Nonparametric Measures of Dependence for Random Variables (1981)Weak convergence of empirical copula processes (2004)Estimating the tail-dependence coefficient: Properties and pitfalls (2005)Goodness‐of‐fit Procedures for Copula Models Based on the Probability Integral Transformation (2006)Improved methods of combining forecasts (1984)Why are Gambling Markets Organised so Differently from Financial Markets? (2004)Combining expert forecasts: Can anything beat the simple average? (2012)Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Agreeing to Disagree (1976)Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs. (1994)Combining Probability Distributions From Experts in Risk Analysis (1999)Trust Management for the Semantic Web (2003)Probabilistic Forecasting (2014)The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven‐country data set (2004)Chapter 4 Forecast Combinations (2006)Handbook of Economic Forecasting (2013)An effect size primer: A guide for clinicians and researchers. (2009)Comparison of Values of Pearson's and Spearman's Correlation Coefficients on the Same Sets of Data (2011)Econometric measures of connectedness and systemic risk in the finance and insurance sectors (2012)Risk management processes in supplier networks (2004)Multi-criteria analysis: a manual (2009)Forecast Verification (2011)Latin hypercube sampling and the propagation of uncertainty in analyses of complex systems (2003)The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning (2005)Survey of sampling-based methods for uncertainty and sensitivity analysis (2006)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1938A NEW MEASURE OF RANK CORRELATION7,315 cited
  • 1990Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography1,465 cited
  • 1992Making Hard Decisions, an Introduction to Decision Analysis1,450 cited
  • 1992Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science1,129 cited
  • 1986Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography1,007 cited
  • 1975Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis663 cited
  • 1986Copules archimédiennes et families de lois bidimensionnelles dont les marges sont données412 cited
  • 1977Combining Expert Judgments: A Bayesian Approach350 cited
  • 1986Combining Economic Forecasts341 cited
  • 1985Limits for the Precision and Value of Information from Dependent Sources303 cited
  • 1974Decision Analysis Expert Use288 cited

Cited by

  • 2008Supplier default dependencies: Empirical evidence from the automotive industry130 cited
  • 2007Aggregating Probability Distributions129 cited
  • 2011ESTIMATORS BASED ON KENDALL'S TAU IN MULTIVARIATE COPULA MODELS104 cited
  • 2005Does high forecast uncertainty preclude effective decision support?103 cited

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

  • 2011Aggregating expert judgement94 cited
  • 1995Coherent combination of experts' opinions87 cited
  • 2016Classical meets modern in the IDEA protocol for structured expert judgement82 cited
  • 2007On the performance of social network and likelihood-based expert weighting schemes81 cited
  • 1999The Expected Value of Information and the Probability of Surprise80 cited
  • 2004A Literature Review on the Use of Expert Opinion in Probabilistic Risk Analysis80 cited
  • 1999On Modeling Correlated Random Variables in Risk Assessment78 cited
  • 2021A survey of human judgement and quantitative forecasting methods78 cited
  • 2002The Use of Archimedean Copulas to Model Portfolio Allocations78 cited
  • 2011Semiparametric estimation in models of first-price, sealed-bid auctions with affiliation69 cited
  • 2011Dynamic risk analysis using alarm databases to improve process safety and product quality: Part II—Bayesian analysis65 cited
  • 1996Model uncertainty: theory and practical implications62 cited