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Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method
6 references·16 citing·45 second hop
Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method (1987)Components of probability judgment accura…Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…Training for calibration (1980)Training for calibrationJudgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score (1973)A New Vector Partition of the…Self-perception: An alternative interpretation of cognitive dissonance phenomena. (1967)Self-perception: An alternati…Superstitious Learning with Rare Strategic Decisions: Theory and Evidence from Corporate Acquisitions (2009)Superstitious Learning with R…Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years (2006)Judgmental forecasting: A rev…Disciplinary knowledge of K-3 teachers and their knowledge calibration in the domain of early literacy (2004)Disciplinary knowledge of K-3…When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism (2002)When Predictions Fail: The Di…The Availability Heuristic Revisited: Ease of Recall and Content of Recall as Distinct Sources of Information (2002)The Availability Heuristic Re…Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics” (2002)Sympathetic Magical Thinking:…Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)Norm Theory: Comparing Realit…Compatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice (2002)Compatibility Effects in Judg…Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation…Beliefs about Overconfidence, Including Its Cross-National Variation (1996)Beliefs about Overconfidence,…Groups under uncertainty: An examination of confidence in group decision making (1992)Groups under uncertainty: An …Influences on the appropriateness of confidence in judgment: Practice, effort, information, and decision-making (1991)Influences on the appropriate…The effect of choosing on confidence in choice (1990)The effect of choosing on con…Probability judgment accuracy: China, Japan, and the United States (1989)Probability judgment accuracy…Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. 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this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 1967Self-perception: An alternative interpretation of cognitive dissonance phenomena.2,958 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1973A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score1,120 cited
  • 1980Training for calibration382 cited

Cited by

  • 1989Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability.758 cited
  • 2002Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability678 cited
  • 2006Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years535 cited
  • 2004Disciplinary knowledge of K-3 teachers and their knowledge calibration in the domain of early literacy375 cited
  • 1986Assessing uncertainty in physical constants320 cited
  • 2009Superstitious Learning with Rare Strategic Decisions: Theory and Evidence from Corporate Acquisitions316 cited
  • 2002Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives289 cited
  • 1992Groups under uncertainty: An examination of confidence in group decision making281 cited

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

  • 2002Compatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice232 cited
  • 1990The effect of choosing on confidence in choice226 cited
  • 2002The Availability Heuristic Revisited: Ease of Recall and Content of Recall as Distinct Sources of Information212 cited
  • 2002When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism209 cited
  • 1996Beliefs about Overconfidence, Including Its Cross-National Variation202 cited
  • 1989Probability judgment accuracy: China, Japan, and the United States202 cited
  • 1991Influences on the appropriateness of confidence in judgment: Practice, effort, information, and decision-making192 cited
  • 2002Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics”191 cited