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Comparaison empirique des méthodes d'inférence de probabilités subjectives*
16 references·0 citing·36 second hop
Comparaison empirique des méthodes d'inférence de probabilités subjectives* (1988)Comparaison empirique des méthodes d'infé…State of the Art—Encoding Subjective Probabilities: A Psychological and Psychometric Review (1983)State of the Art—Encoding Sub…Probability Assessment by Individual Auditors and Audit Teams: An Empirical Investigation (1982)Probability Assessment by Ind…Contingent decision behavior. (1982)Contingent decision behavior.Calibration of auditors' probabilistic judgments: Some empirical evidence (1982)Calibration of auditors' prob…An Examination of the Conservative Information Processing Bias in an Accounting Framework (1982)An Examination of the Conserv…Eliciting subjective probability distributions on continuous variables (1978)Eliciting subjective probabil…Behavioral Decision Theory (1977)Behavioral Decision TheoryJudgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Expert judgment about uncertainty: Bayesian decision making in realistic settings (1975)Expert judgment about uncerta…Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis (1975)Exceptional Paper—Probability…METHODS FOR QUANTIFYING SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES AND MULTI‐ATTRIBUTE UTILITIES*† (1974)METHODS FOR QUANTIFYING SUBJE…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Subjective Probability and Its Measurement (1973)Subjective Probability and It…Experiments in the laboratory and the real world (1973)Experiments in the laboratory…A comparative study of differences in subjective likelihood estimates made by individuals, interacting groups, Delphi groups, and nominal groups (1973)A comparative study of differ…Theory and Methods of Scaling. (1959)Theory and Methods of Scaling.Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment (1971)Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Conservatism in human information processing (1982)Review of Research on Teachers' Pedagogical Judgments, Plans, and Decisions (1983)The Innovation Diffusion Process in a Heterogeneous Population: A Micromodeling Approach (1990)Competing Theories of Financial Anomalies (2000)A BEHAVIORAL MODEL OF RATIONAL CHOICE (1955)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Self-generated validity and other effects of measurement on belief, attitude, intention, and behavior. (1988)Perceived Usefulness, Perceived Ease of Use, and User Acceptance of Information Technology (1989)Response strategies for coping with the cognitive demands of attitude measures in surveys (1991)An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts (1963)A Group Process Model for Problem Identification and Program Planning (1971)The delphi technique: an exposition and application (1991)Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task (2010)We Agree, Don’t We? The Delphi Method for Health Environments Research (2019)Linear models in decision making. (1974)A COMPARISON OF WEIGHTING METHODS IN POWER PLANT SITING* (1980)Systematic Risk Management Approach for Construction Projects (1990)An evaluation of Delphi (1991)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)How we know--and sometimes misjudge--what others know: Imputing one's own knowledge to others. (1999)Uncertainties in risk analysis: Six levels of treatment (1996)Toward a positive theory of consumer choice (1980)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)What Is the Sapir‐Whorf Hypothesis? (1984)Attitude Attribution: A Group Basis for Political Reasoning (1985)The Importance of Utility Balance in Efficient Choice Designs (1996)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)
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References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1977Behavioral Decision Theory1,731 cited
  • 1982Contingent decision behavior.1,244 cited
  • 1959Theory and Methods of Scaling.1,006 cited
  • 1975Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis663 cited
  • 1973A comparative study of differences in subjective likelihood estimates made by individuals, interacting groups, Delphi groups, and nominal groups376 cited
  • 1983State of the Art—Encoding Subjective Probabilities: A Psychological and Psychometric Review350 cited
  • 1973Experiments in the laboratory and the real world163 cited
  • 1974METHODS FOR QUANTIFYING SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES AND MULTI‐ATTRIBUTE UTILITIES*†117 cited
  • 1982Calibration of auditors' probabilistic judgments: Some empirical evidence107 cited
  • 1973Subjective Probability and Its Measurement106 cited
  • 1978Eliciting subjective probability distributions on continuous variables105 cited
  • 1982Probability Assessment by Individual Auditors and Audit Teams: An Empirical Investigation67 cited
  • 1975Expert judgment about uncertainty: Bayesian decision making in realistic settings

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62 cited
  • 1982An Examination of the Conservative Information Processing Bias in an Accounting Framework52 cited
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