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Forecasting with scenarios
8 references·16 citing·43 second hop
Forecasting with scenarios (1993)Forecasting with scenariosWhen and how to use scenario planning: A heuristic approach with illustration (1991)When and how to use scenario …The Fifth Discipline (1990)The Fifth DisciplineNew directions in research on decision making (1987)New directions in research on…Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead (1985)Scenarios: Uncharted Waters A…Forecasting and Planning: An Evaluation (1981)Forecasting and Planning: An …The use of the decomposition principle in making judgments (1975)The use of the decomposition …The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the next Thirty-three Years. (1969)The Year 2000: A Framework fo…The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years, by Herman Kahn, Anthony J. Wiener (1968)The Year 2000: A Framework fo…The human factor in supply chain forecasting: A systematic review (2018)The human factor in supply ch…Does the intuitive logics method – and its recent enhancements – produce “effective” scenarios? (2012)Does the intuitive logics met…A transdisciplinary approach for formalized integrated planning and decision-making in complex systems (2008)A transdisciplinary approach …Scenario planning––lessons for practice from teaching and learning (2003)Scenario planning––lessons fo…Conceiving the Past and Future (2003)Conceiving the Past and FutureUnderstanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives (2002)Understanding Misunderstandin…Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics” (2002)Sympathetic Magical Thinking:…Rationales for Government Intervention in the Commercialization of New Technologies (2002)Rationales for Government Int…Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)Norm Theory: Comparing Realit…Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem (2002)Mental Contamination and the …Identity Through Time (2001)Identity Through TimeDoes scenario planning affect performance? Two exploratory studies (2001)Does scenario planning affect…Design and implementation of a group DSS for sustaining renewable energies exploitation (1998)Design and implementation of …Strategic learning with scenarios (1997)Strategic learning with scena…A hybrid simulation/optimisation scenario model for asset/liability management (1997)A hybrid simulation/optimisat…Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions. (1995)Resistance of personal risk p…Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)The theory of planned behavior (1991)The Two Forms of Belief in a Just World (1998)Self-Efficacy: The Exercise of Control (1999)Revisiting positionality and the thesis of situated knowledge (2019)The Oxford Handbook of Experimental Semantics and Pragmatics (2019)Personal Knowledge: Towards a Post-Critical Philosophy (1959)Challenging strategic planning assumptions (1981)Measuring Constructed Preferences: Towards a Building Code (1999)Measuring Constructed Preferences: Towards a Building Code (1999)Review of Delphi-based scenario studies: Quality and design considerations (2011)Competitive advantage, creating and sustaining superior performance (1985)Competitive Advantage: Creating and Sustaining Superior Performance (1985)Making Social Science Matter (2001)Rethinking the 2 × 2 scenario method: Grid or frames? (2013)Learning to use the future: developing foresight capabilities through scenario processes (2014)Horizon Scanning in Foresight – Why Horizon Scanning is only a part of the game (2019)The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices (1965)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Toward a Contingency Model of Strategic Risk Taking (1985)The role of marketing capability in innovation-based competitive strategy (2003)Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years (2006)Possible selves. (1986)The case for motivated reasoning. (1990)Bad is Stronger than Good (2001)The Psychology of Future-Oriented Thinking: From Achievement to Proactive Coping, Adaptation, and Aging (2005)Temporal differences in trait self-ascription: When the self is seen as an other. (2006)The development and coherence of future-oriented behaviors during the preschool years (2009)A Causal Model Explaining the Perception and Acceptance of Gene Technology1 (1999)Risk Perception Research (2000)A fuzzy-QFD approach to supplier selection (2006)Work and nonwork: A review of models, methods, and findings. (1980)Issues related to mitigation in the long term context (2012)Corporate foresight: An emerging field with a rich tradition (2015)Monitoring the future. Building an early warning system for the Dutch Ministry of Justice (2009)Integrated Risk and Uncertainty Assessment of Climate Change Response Policies (2015)Market Orientation and the Learning Organization (1995)Deliberate Learning and the Evolution of Dynamic Capabilities (2002)Toward a theory of spiritual leadership (2003)Multiple scenario development: Its conceptual and behavioral foundation (1993)Disciplines of Organizational Learning: Contributions and Critiques (1997)A review of scenario planning (2012)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1990The Fifth Discipline6,350 cited
  • 1985Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead1,016 cited
  • 1981Forecasting and Planning: An Evaluation612 cited
  • 1968The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years, by Herman Kahn, Anthony J. Wiener571 cited
  • 1969The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the next Thirty-three Years.543 cited
  • 1991When and how to use scenario planning: A heuristic approach with illustration372 cited
  • 1987New directions in research on decision making194 cited
  • 1975The use of the decomposition principle in making judgments158 cited

Cited by

  • 2002Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives289 cited
  • 2003Conceiving the Past and Future221 cited
  • 2012Does the intuitive logics method – and its recent enhancements – produce “effective” scenarios?207 cited
  • 2002Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics”191 cited
  • 1998Design and implementation of a group DSS for sustaining renewable energies exploitation178 cited
  • 1995Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions.166 cited
  • 2001Does scenario planning affect performance? Two exploratory studies

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

163 cited
  • 2002Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem160 cited
  • 2003Scenario planning––lessons for practice from teaching and learning156 cited
  • 2018The human factor in supply chain forecasting: A systematic review146 cited
  • 2002Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives119 cited
  • 2008A transdisciplinary approach for formalized integrated planning and decision-making in complex systems117 cited
  • 2002Rationales for Government Intervention in the Commercialization of New Technologies116 cited
  • 1997Strategic learning with scenarios115 cited
  • 1997A hybrid simulation/optimisation scenario model for asset/liability management107 cited
  • 2001Identity Through Time106 cited