Citation map · Study

SZodixStudyAcademic Library

Shelves Open access

Study · an open academic library·Metadata from OpenAlex (CC0)·Shelves·OpenAlex metadata, de-duplicated

Forecasting Tournaments

16 references·15 citing·42 second hop

FromToDepth

this work references cited by second hop

References

1981The Evolution of Cooperation20,055 cited
2011Thinking, Fast and Slow14,316 cited
1988Organizational Learning6,656 cited
2011False-Positive Psychology6,561 cited
2009Understanding and using the Implicit Association Test: III. Meta-analysis of predictive validity.3,257 cited
2017Perception and Misperception in International Politics3,199 cited
2009Conditions for intuitive expertise: A failure to disagree.2,436 cited
1999Accounting for the effects of accountability.2,406 cited
1990Handbook of social psychology2,354 cited
1984Validity and utility of alternative predictors of job performance.2,101 cited
1968Experimenter Effects in Behavioral Research1,621 cited
2017Perception and Misperception in International Politics1,511 cited
1982The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition1,465 cited
2006Thinking and Deciding1,422 cited
2006Expert political judgment: how good is it? how can we know?1,260 cited
1967Experimenter Effects in Behavioral Research.

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

1,194 cited

Cited by

2023Prosocial motives underlie scientific censorship by scientists: A perspective and research agenda106 cited
2016Research on Idea Generation and Selection: Implications for Management of Technology94 cited
2018Consciousness of the future as a matrix of maybe: Pragmatic prospection and the simulation of alternative possibilities.90 cited
2021Recent work on intellectual humility: A philosopher’s perspective78 cited
2016Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition74 cited
2017Bringing probability judgments into policy debates via forecasting tournaments67 cited
2024Wisdom of the silicon crowd: LLM ensemble prediction capabilities rival human crowd accuracy54 cited
2019AI Safety Needs Social Scientists45 cited
2022Peering into a crystal ball: Forecasting behavior and industry foresight43 cited
2011The "CAPS" Prediction System and Stock Market Returns36 cited
2016Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses33 cited
2021Eliciting Model Structures for Multivariate Probabilistic Risk Analysis25 cited
2020Collective intelligence in fingerprint analysis24 cited
2014Punctuated incongruity: A new approach to managing trade-offs between conformity and deviation23 cited
2021Effects of Choice Restriction on Accuracy and User Experience in an Internet-Based Geopolitical Forecasting Task2 cited