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On Forecasting Mortality
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On Forecasting Mortality (1988)On Forecasting MortalityCauses-of-Death Mortality: What Do We Know on Their Dependence? (2015)Causes-of-Death Mortality: Wh…Modelling cause-of-death mortality and the impact of cause-elimination (2014)Modelling cause-of-death mort…Statistical Security for Social Security (2012)Statistical Security for Soci…The future of death in America (2011)The future of death in AmericaA Trend-Change Extension of the Cairns-Blake-Dowd Model (2011)A Trend-Change Extension of t…Variations in the pace of old-age mortality decline in seven European countries, 1950–1999: the role of smoking and other factors earlier in life (2007)Variations in the pace of old…The choice among past trends as a basis for the prediction of future trends in old-age mortality (2007)The choice among past trends …Literature review of long-term mortality projections. (2005)Literature review of long-ter…Population Projections (2004)Population ProjectionsLong-range trends in adult mortality: Models and projection methods (2004)Long-range trends in adult mo…Disability--Global Trends and International Perspectives (2003)Disability--Global Trends and…A Biodemographic Interpretation of Life Span (2002)A Biodemographic Interpretati…A Review of Demographic Forecasting Models for Mortality (2001)A Review of Demographic Forec…The Prospect of Mortality: England and Wales and the United States of America, 1962–1989 (1995)The Prospect of Mortality: En…How square is the survival curve of a given species? (1995)How square is the survival cu…Demographic Perspectives on Human Senescence (1994)Demographic Perspectives on H…What difference would it make if cancer were eradicated? An examination of the taeuber paradox (1977)A universal pattern of mortality decline in the G7 countries (2000)Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions (2006)Grouped Functional Time Series Forecasting: An Application to Age-Specific Mortality Rates (2016)Grouped multivariate and functional time series forecasting:An application to annuity pricing (2017)A forecast reconciliation approach to cause-of-death mortality modeling (2019)The Fourth Stage of the Epidemiologic Transition: The Age of Delayed Degenerative Diseases (1986)In Search of Methuselah: Estimating the Upper Limits to Human Longevity (1990)Trading Off Longer Life for Worsening Health (1991)How long can humans live? Lower bound for biological limit of human longevity calculated from Danish twin data using correlated frailty model (1995)Sociodemographic Characteristics of Long-Lived and Healthy Individuals (1995)Smoothing and projecting age-specific probabilities of death by TOPALS (2012)XXIV. On the nature of the function expressive of the law of human mortality, and on a new mode of determining the value of life contingencies. In a letter to Francis Baily, Esq. F. R. S. &c (1825)Aging, Natural Death, and the Compression of Morbidity (1980)Broken Limits to Life Expectancy (2002)Advances in mortality forecasting: introduction (2018)Assessing excess mortality in times of pandemics based on principal component analysis of weekly mortality data—the case of COVID-19 (2021)Future life expectancy in Europe taking into account the impact of smoking, obesity, and alcohol (2021)Population Bulletin of the United Nations. (1978)Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the lee-carter method (2005)Trends in Causes of Death in Low‐Mortality Countries: Implications for Mortality Projections (2014)POINT AND INTERVAL FORECASTS OF DEATH RATES USING NEURAL NETWORKS (2021)The impact of heterogeneity in individual frailty on the dynamics of mortality (1979)A set of indicators for decomposing the secular increase of life expectancy (2010)Modelling Deceleration in Senescent Mortality (2011)Lifespan Disparity as an Additional Indicator for Evaluating Mortality Forecasts (2017)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality (1992)The Determinants of Mortality (2006)Deterministic shock vs. stochastic value-at-risk — an analysis of the Solvency II standard model approach to longevity risk (2010)Multidimensional Lee–Carter model with switching mortality processes (2011)The choice of sample size for mortality forecasting: A Bayesian learning approach (2015)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)World Population Prospects The 2006 Revision (2007)A parameterized approach to modeling and forecasting mortality (2008)Longevity Risk (2010)The age pattern of mortality (1980)Modeling causes of death: an integrated approach using CODEm (2012)Cause-of-death mortality: What can be learned from population dynamics? (2017)Modeling cause-of-death mortality using hierarchical Archimedean copula (2018)An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts (1963)A new relational method for smoothing and projecting age-specific fertility rates: TOPALS (2011)Migrant workers: Challenges and opportunities in addressing tourism labour shortages (2011)Population Growth and Change: Implications for Australia's Cities and Regions (2011)Age-specific contributions to changes in the period and cohort life expectancy (2005)Reciprocal effects of health and economic well-being among older adults in Taiwan and Beijing (2005)Trends in the timing of first marriage among men and women in the developing world (2005)World Population Prospects (2013)
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  • 2004Population Projections66 cited
  • 1994Demographic Perspectives on Human Senescence60 cited
  • 2001A Review of Demographic Forecasting Models for Mortality55 cited
  • 2011The future of death in America53 cited
  • 2011A Trend-Change Extension of the Cairns-Blake-Dowd Model51 cited
  • 2007The choice among past trends as a basis for the prediction of future trends in old-age mortality47 cited
  • 2004Long-range trends in adult mortality: Models and projection methods43 cited
  • 1995How square is the survival curve of a given species?41 cited
  • 2015Causes-of-Death Mortality: What Do We Know on Their Dependence?39 cited
  • 2014Modelling cause-of-death mortality and the impact of cause-elimination37 cited
  • 2012Statistical Security for Social Security34 cited
  • 2007Variations in the pace of old-age mortality decline in seven European countries, 1950–1999: the role of smoking and other factors earlier in life25 cited
  • 2005Literature review of long-term mortality projections.25 cited
  • 2002A Biodemographic Interpretation of Life Span22 cited
  • 1995The Prospect of Mortality: England and Wales and the United States of America, 1962–1989

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22 cited
  • 2003Disability--Global Trends and International Perspectives22 cited