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A Theoretical Perspective on Heuristics and Biases in Probabilistic Thinking
16 references·16 citing·27 second hopsampled
A Theoretical Perspective on Heuristics and Biases in Probabilistic Thinking (1983)A Theoretical Perspective on Heuristics a…HUMAN JUDGMENT AND DECISION MAKING - 88-703 (2009)HUMAN JUDGMENT AND DECISION M…Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Prospect theory: An analysis …The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1984)The Structure of Scientific R…Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1983)Judgement under Uncertainty: …Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)The Framing of Decisions and …Beyond discrete biases: Functional and dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics. (1981)Beyond discrete biases: Funct…Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect Theory: An Analysis …Proportionality and sample size as factors in intuitive statistical judgement (1977)Proportionality and sample si…Decision Making and Cognition (1977)Decision Making and CognitionDecision Making and Change in Human Affairs (1977)Decision Making and Change in…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Assessing Uncertainty (1974)Assessing UncertaintyBelief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Belief in the law of small nu…Assessment and evaluation of subjective probability distributions (1970)Assessment and evaluation of …Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Decision Analysis: Introducto…Nudging and boosting financial decisions (2019)Nudging and boosting financia…Communicating numeric quantities in context: implications for decision science and rationality claims (2015)Communicating numeric quantit…Preference Reversals in Judgment and Choice: The Prominence Effect (2014)Preference Reversals in Judgm…Epistemic Strategies Causal Thinking in Expert and Nonexpert Judgment (2007)Epistemic Strategies Causal T…Overview on Decision Making (2001)Overview on Decision MakingEffects of Stress on Judgment and Decision Making (1997)Effects of Stress on Judgment…A review of expert judgment techniques with reference to nuclear safety (1992)A review of expert judgment t…Models of human behaviour and confidence in judgement: A review (1989)Models of human behaviour and…A Synthesis of Descriptive and Prescriptive Models for Decision Making (1989)A Synthesis of Descriptive an…Applied decision research and environmental policy (1988)Applied decision research and…A philosophical basis for decision aiding (1984)A philosophical basis for dec…Problem Structuring Calculi and Levels of Knowledge Representation in Decision Making (1983)Problem Structuring Calculi a…Normative theories of rationality: Occam's razor, Procrustes' bed? (1983)Normative theories of rationa…Logic and probability theory versus canons of rationality (1983)Logic and probability theory …In philosophical defence of Bayesian rationality (1983)In philosophical defence of B…Contrapositivism; or, The only evidence worth paying for is contained in the negatives (1983)Contrapositivism; or, The onl…Generalized expectancies for internal versus external control of reinforcement. (1966)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Social cognitive theory of self-regulation (1991)The correspondence bias. (1995)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Exploration and Exploitation in Organizational Learning (1991)Explicating dynamic capabilities: the nature and microfoundations of (sustainable) enterprise performance (2007)Theory of games and economic behavior (2019)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)Perception of Risk (1987)Toward a Theory of Situation Awareness in Dynamic Systems (1995)Framing Processes and Social Movements: An Overview and Assessment (2000)The Economic Theory of Agency: The Principal's Problem. (1973)On financial contracting (1979)On strategic networks (1988)What is research collaboration? (1997)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Introduction: epistemic communities and international policy coordination (1992)The Influence of Culture, Community, and the Nested‐Self in the Stress Process: Advancing Conservation of Resources Theory (2001)
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References

  • 1979Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk48,459 cited
  • 1988Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk32,475 cited
  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1981The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice17,834 cited
  • 1983Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases3,812 cited
  • 1971Belief in the law of small numbers.3,244 cited
  • 1984The Structure of Scientific Revolutions2,129 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1969Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty.1,928 cited
  • 1981Beyond discrete biases: Functional and dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics.613 cited
  • 1977Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs219 cited
  • 1974Assessing Uncertainty133 cited
  • 1970Assessment and evaluation of subjective probability distributions109 cited
  • 2009HUMAN JUDGMENT AND DECISION MAKING - 88-70367 cited
  • 1977Proportionality and sample size as factors in intuitive statistical judgement65 cited
  • 1977Decision Making and Cognition

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37 cited

Cited by

  • 1989Models of human behaviour and confidence in judgement: A review42 cited
  • 1992A review of expert judgment techniques with reference to nuclear safety34 cited
  • 1983Normative theories of rationality: Occam's razor, Procrustes' bed?31 cited
  • 1983Problem Structuring Calculi and Levels of Knowledge Representation in Decision Making28 cited
  • 2007Epistemic Strategies Causal Thinking in Expert and Nonexpert Judgment11 cited
  • 1984A philosophical basis for decision aiding10 cited
  • 2015Communicating numeric quantities in context: implications for decision science and rationality claims7 cited
  • 1997Effects of Stress on Judgment and Decision Making5 cited
  • 1983Logic and probability theory versus canons of rationality4 cited
  • 1989A Synthesis of Descriptive and Prescriptive Models for Decision Making2 cited
  • 2019Nudging and boosting financial decisions2 cited
  • 2014Preference Reversals in Judgment and Choice: The Prominence Effect2 cited
  • 1983In philosophical defence of Bayesian rationality2 cited
  • 1988Applied decision research and environmental policy2 cited
  • 2001Overview on Decision Making1 cited
  • 1983Contrapositivism; or, The only evidence worth paying for is contained in the negatives0 cited